BOS -5.5 o200.0
ORL 5.5 u200.0
IND 5.0 o229.0
MIL -5.0 u229.0
LAL 3.5 o208.0
MIN -3.5 u208.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Toronto 11th EASTERN CONFERENCE30-52

Sacramento @ Toronto picks

Scotiabank Arena

SAC vs TOR Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Ellis o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -120 fanduel
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -115
7.5 -120
7.5 -118
7.5 -118
5.5 -120
5.5 -102

The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a strong matchup. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Total Rebounds
D. McDermott u1.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -109 caesars
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -120
1.5 -110
1.5 -125
1.5 -109

Doug McDermott has compiled 0.7 defensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 2nd percentile. Doug McDermott has averaged 13.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Doug McDermott will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance across the board.

3-Pointers Made
K. Ellis o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +130 bet365
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +130
1.5 -160
1.5 +125
1.5 -165
1.5 +120
1.5 -167

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season has been the Kings. The matchup against Toronto is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (3.2). The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Total Assists
R. Barrett u6.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -150 bet365
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +120
6.5 -150
6.5 +115
6.5 -155
6.5 +112
6.5 -159
6.5 +120
6.5 -167
5.5 -142
5.5 +110
5.5 -132
5.5 +108

Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season.

Points Scored
D. McDermott u7.5 Points Scored
Projection 6.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u7.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -120
7.5 -110
7.5 -123
7.5 -111

Doug McDermott has successfully made 36.6% of his field goals while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league. Doug McDermott has averaged 13.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.1 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, creating a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Doug McDermott has made 0.2 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Points Scored
K. Murray o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -136 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -115
14.5 -120
13.5 -136
13.5 -104
14.5 -114
14.5 -120
14.5 -130
14.5 +100
14.5 -112
14.5 -108

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 81st percentile for shots taken while on the road, averaging 12.0 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 91st percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 6.7 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.4 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, marking this as a positive matchup.

Total Assists
K. Huerter o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -135 bet365
Projection updated: 175 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -135
1.5 +105
1.5 -140
1.5 +105
1.5 -137
1.5 +100

The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Points Scored
M. Monk o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 15.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -123 caesars
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -130
13.5 -105
13.5 -123
13.5 -111
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
14.5 +100
14.5 -122

Malik Monk has attempted 12.2 shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the league. Malik Monk has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Total Assists
M. Monk o3.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -122 fanduel
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -130
3.5 +100
3.5 -135
3.5 +100
3.5 -128
3.5 -106
3.5 -125
3.5 -105
3.5 -122
3.5 +100

Malik Monk has totaled 5.0 assists per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 89th percentile. The 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Points Scored
J. Poeltl o14.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -115 fanduel
Projection updated: 174 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
15.5 +110
15.5 -145
14.5 -127
14.5 -109
15.5 +102
15.5 -139
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
14.5 -115
14.5 -105

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.0 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

SAC vs TOR Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Total

65% picking Sacramento vs Toronto to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksSAC 296, TOR 156

Total
Over
Under

SAC vs TOR Top User Picks

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