NY -8.5 o235.0
UTA 8.5 u235.0
DET 9.0 o206.0
ORL -9.0 u206.0
CHA 7.5 o224.5
MIL -7.5 u224.5
MEM -5.0 o243.0
CHI 5.0 u243.0
POR 13.0 o228.0
HOU -13.0 u228.0
GS -3.0 o228.5
SA 3.0 u228.5
DEN 4.5 o235.0
LAL -4.5 u235.0
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE13-3
Milwaukee 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE7-9

Boston @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andre Jackson Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

A. Jackson
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Andre Jackson Jr. has posted 2.3 points per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile -- among the worst in the league by this standard. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Compared to last year's 75.0% rate, Andre Jackson Jr.'s free-throw effectiveness has decreased this year to 25.0%. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Andre Jackson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.1

Andre Jackson Jr. has posted 2.3 points per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile -- among the worst in the league by this standard. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Compared to last year's 75.0% rate, Andre Jackson Jr.'s free-throw effectiveness has decreased this year to 25.0%. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Under
-119
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Under
-119
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 28.5% rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's 3-point effectiveness has been reduced this year to 0.0%. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. This year, the other team's starting PFs have posted 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a lowly 51.9% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly lower than his 64.1 rate last season.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

In comparison to last year's 28.5% rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's 3-point effectiveness has been reduced this year to 0.0%. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. This year, the other team's starting PFs have posted 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a lowly 51.9% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly lower than his 64.1 rate last season.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has converted a whopping 60.4% of his three-point attempts this season, a big improvement over his 37.0 rate last season. As it relates to offense, the Bucks's outstanding 120.4 points per game on their home court places 5th-best in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Taurean Prince has converted 100.0% of his free throws when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Taurean Prince has converted a whopping 60.4% of his three-point attempts this season, a big improvement over his 37.0 rate last season. As it relates to offense, the Bucks's outstanding 120.4 points per game on their home court places 5th-best in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Taurean Prince has converted 100.0% of his free throws when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 96th percentile for shots made, totaling a whopping 9.0 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown places in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 6.0 per game since the start of last season. Jaylen Brown has played 34.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 96th percentile for shots made, totaling a whopping 9.0 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown places in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 6.0 per game since the start of last season. Jaylen Brown has played 34.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 baskets per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 baskets per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 26.5 mark, Jayson Tatum's points per game have risen this year to 30.5. Jayson Tatum has attempted 11.6 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.0 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

In comparison to last year's 26.5 mark, Jayson Tatum's points per game have risen this year to 30.5. Jayson Tatum has attempted 11.6 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.0 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 83rd percentile, tallying an enormous 19.2 points per game this year. Derrick White has attempted 9.2 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 83rd percentile, tallying an enormous 19.2 points per game this year. Derrick White has attempted 9.2 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. As it relates to offense, the Bucks's outstanding 120.4 points per game on their home court places 5th-best in the league since the start of last season. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Brook Lopez will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. As it relates to offense, the Bucks's outstanding 120.4 points per game on their home court places 5th-best in the league since the start of last season. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Brook Lopez will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

When guarding opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez slots into the 94th percentile with an enormous 3.3 threes attempted against him per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 80.8% clip, Al Horford's free-throw proficiency has surged this year to 100.0%.

Al Horford

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

When guarding opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez slots into the 94th percentile with an enormous 3.3 threes attempted against him per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 80.8% clip, Al Horford's free-throw proficiency has surged this year to 100.0%.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard ranks in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, posting 9.2 per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 95.8% of his free throws away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Out of all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard ranks in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, posting 9.2 per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 95.8% of his free throws away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has successfully made 6.6 baskets per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Bucks's outstanding 120.4 points per game on their home court places 5th-best in the league since the start of last season. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Bobby Portis will likely see an increase in performance in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Bobby Portis has successfully made 6.6 baskets per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Bucks's outstanding 120.4 points per game on their home court places 5th-best in the league since the start of last season. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Bobby Portis will likely see an increase in performance in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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