Final Dec 21
LAL 103 4.0 o228.5
SAC 99 -4.0 u228.5
Final Dec 21
MIA 114 2.0 o205.0
ORL 121 -2.0 u205.0
Final Dec 21
MEM 128 -1.5 o232.5
ATL 112 1.5 u232.5
Final Dec 21
UTA 105 1.5 o219.5
BK 94 -1.5 u219.5
Final Dec 21
PHI 99 9.0 o221.5
CLE 126 -9.0 u221.5
Final Dec 21
WAS 101 8.5 o219.5
MIL 112 -8.5 u219.5
Final Dec 21
NY 104 -8.0 o224.0
NO 93 8.0 u224.0
Final Dec 21
BOS 123 -12.0 o238.0
CHI 98 12.0 u238.0
Final Dec 21
GS 113 4.0 o218.0
MIN 103 -4.0 u218.0
Final Dec 21
POR 94 6.5 o223.5
SA 114 -6.5 u223.5
Final Dec 21
LAC 97 3.5 o220.0
DAL 113 -3.5 u220.0
Final Dec 21
DET 133 6.0 o224.5
PHO 125 -6.0 u224.5
Houston 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE18-9
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-12

Houston @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 threes per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a positive matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jabari Smith Jr. has made 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Jabari Smith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 threes per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a positive matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jabari Smith Jr. has made 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 79th percentile for field goal attempts while on the road, registering 12.8 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Fred VanVleet has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.7). The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 79th percentile for field goal attempts while on the road, registering 12.8 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Fred VanVleet has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.7). The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

With respect to shooting, the Rockets's poor 43.4% field goal rate while playing on the road places 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Houston Rockets. Amen Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production for all stats.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

With respect to shooting, the Rockets's poor 43.4% field goal rate while playing on the road places 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Houston Rockets. Amen Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production for all stats.

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Alperen Sengun has converted 45.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The showdown with Brook Lopez measures in only the 92nd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs sinking a monstrous 60.9% of their shots from the field this year when they are away from home. The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Alperen Sengun has converted 45.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The showdown with Brook Lopez measures in only the 92nd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs sinking a monstrous 60.9% of their shots from the field this year when they are away from home. The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Andre Jackson Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

A. Jackson
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Andre Jackson Jr. has notched 3.4 points per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 12th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA in this category. Andre Jackson Jr. has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile). The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andre Jackson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.9

Andre Jackson Jr. has notched 3.4 points per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 12th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA in this category. Andre Jackson Jr. has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile). The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Tari Eason

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has attempted 9.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets, creating a strong matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Taurean Prince has made a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this year, significantly higher than his 74.1 mark last year.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Taurean Prince has attempted 9.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets, creating a strong matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Taurean Prince has made a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this year, significantly higher than his 74.1 mark last year.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 78th percentile for threes made, compiling 2.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.6 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 78th percentile for threes made, compiling 2.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.6 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard rates in the 96th percentile, putting up an enormous 26.0 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 9.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.8 minutes per game this year. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The matchup against Houston is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.5%).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard rates in the 96th percentile, putting up an enormous 26.0 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 9.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.8 minutes per game this year. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The matchup against Houston is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.5%).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.8 minutes per game this year. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). The showdown with Alperen Sengun with respect to getting to the charity stripe ranks in just the 85th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a colossal 4.0 free throws per game this year when they are at home. Brook Lopez will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player production for all stats.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.8 minutes per game this year. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). The showdown with Alperen Sengun with respect to getting to the charity stripe ranks in just the 85th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a colossal 4.0 free throws per game this year when they are at home. Brook Lopez will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player production for all stats.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a whopping 13.1 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 11.5 rate last year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a whopping 13.1 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 11.5 rate last year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Jalen Green has attempted 17.0 shots per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most buckets per game in the league this year (6.2). The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Green

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Jalen Green has attempted 17.0 shots per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most buckets per game in the league this year (6.2). The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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