Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE68-14
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Oklahoma City @ Golden State picks

Chase Center

OKC vs GS Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
J. Kuminga u16.5 Points Scored
Projection 13 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 -114 caesars
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
16.5 -120
16.5 -115
16.5 -120
16.5 -114
16.5 -110
16.5 -120
16.5 +104
16.5 -128

Out of all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga lands in the 20th percentile for three-point performance with a weak 25.5% rate this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made a measly 59.6% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.0 rate last year. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Points Scored
B. Hield u15.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u15.5 -120 draftkings
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
15.5 -110
15.5 -120
15.5 -108
15.5 -124
15.5 -114
15.5 -120
15.5 -110
15.5 -120
15.5 +104
15.5 -128

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Points Scored
J. Williams u22.5 Points Scored
Projection 20.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u22.5 +102 fanduel
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
22.5 -110
22.5 -120
22.5 -108
22.5 -122
22.5 -120
22.5 -114
22.5 -115
22.5 -115
22.5 -124
22.5 +102

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.9 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Jalen Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
D. Green o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -130 betmgm
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -130
7.5 -105
8.5 +102
8.5 -136
7.5 -137
7.5 +100
8.5 +105
8.5 -135
8.5 +102
8.5 -124

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 87th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a great 42.7% rate this year. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home (7th-most in the league).

Points Scored
T. Jackson-Davis o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -125
7.5 -105
8.5 -107
8.5 -125
7.5 -120
7.5 -114
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
6.5 -110
6.5 -110

Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 8.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The showdown with Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a whopping 0.9 threes per game since the start of last season. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

3-Pointers Made
B. Hield u3.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 -120 bet365
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -110
3.5 -120
3.5 -110
3.5 -120
3.5 +116
3.5 -155
3.5 -109
3.5 -125
3.5 -105
3.5 -125
3.5 +110
3.5 -140

Buddy Hield has gone under 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Total Rebounds
A. Wiggins o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +117 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -110
4.5 -120
4.5 +117
4.5 -157
4.5 -118
4.5 -118
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 +100
4.5 -122

Andrew Wiggins has compiled 1.7 offensive boards per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric in recent games. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Andrew Wiggins should get a boost in performance in all stat categories considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Points Scored
A. Wiggins o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -104 fanduel
Projection updated: 149 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 -114
8.5 -120
7.5 -125
7.5 -105
7.5 -104
7.5 -118

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins ranks in the 80th percentile for three-point efficiency away from his home court with a stellar 43.3% rate this year. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on threes (best in the league) against the Warriors, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

OKC vs GS Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

70% picking Oklahoma City vs Golden State to go Over

70%
30%

Total PicksOKC 345, GS 151

Total
Over
Under

OKC vs GS Top User Picks

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