Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Phoenix 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46

Golden State @ Phoenix picks

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GS vs PHO Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
T. Jones o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 146 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -120
10.5 -110
11.5 -104
11.5 -129
10.5 -133
10.5 -103
11.5 +100
11.5 -130
11.5 -106
11.5 -114

Tyus Jones has successfully made 1.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyus Jones has averaged 32.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied 24.4 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Golden State Warriors).

Total Assists
B. Podziemski u4.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 -152 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 146 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -150
3.5 +120
3.5 -155
3.5 +115
4.5 +114
4.5 -152
3.5 -154
3.5 +112
4.5 +136
4.5 -168

The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Suns). Brandin Podziemski figures to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this contest.

Points Scored
M. Plumlee o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 146 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
6.5 -120
6.5 -114
7.5 -110
7.5 -110

Mason Plumlee has made 67.4% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Golden State Warriors). Mason Plumlee will likely see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Points Scored
J. Nurkic o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 147 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 +100
9.5 -135
8.5 -117
8.5 -114
9.5 +100
9.5 -137
8.5 -125
8.5 -105
8.5 -110
8.5 -110

Jusuf Nurkic has made 56.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court. Jusuf Nurkic has made 46.3% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while at home. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Golden State Warriors). Jusuf Nurkic will likely see a spike in productivity for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Points Scored
L. Waters o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -102 fanduel
Projection updated: 146 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -135
7.5 +100
7.5 -143
7.5 +104
7.5 -102
7.5 -120

Lindy Waters III has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. The 5th-speediest tempo team in the league this year has been the Warriors. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Points Scored
T. Jackson-Davis u8.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -130 betmgm
Projection updated: 146 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 +100
8.5 -130
8.5 +100
8.5 -137
8.5 +105
8.5 -135

Among all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis places in the 5th percentile for 3-point performance while playing away from home with a poor 0.0% rate this year. The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Suns). Trayce Jackson-Davis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Points Scored
D. Booker u27.5 Points Scored
Projection 25.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u27.5 -120 draftkings
Projection updated: 146 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
27.5 -105
27.5 -125
26.5 -129
26.5 -104
27.5 +108
27.5 -147
27.5 -110
27.5 -120
27.5 -102
27.5 -120

Devin Booker has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed in all games this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 21.6% on 3-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Warriors, marking this as a challenging matchup. The 5th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 7thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Total Rebounds
T. Jackson-Davis u5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 -135 draftkings
Projection updated: 146 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 +115
5.5 -155
5.5 +112
5.5 -154
5.5 +105
5.5 -135

The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Suns). Trayce Jackson-Davis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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