LIVE 08:04 2nd Apr 27
LAL 38 2.5 o209.0
MIN 34 -2.5 u209.0
BOS -7.5 o200.0
ORL 7.5 u200.0
IND 3.5 o227.0
MIL -3.5 u227.0
Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Los Angeles @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Bam Adebayo has sunk 47.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 18.3% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo should see a rise in performance across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Bam Adebayo has sunk 47.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 18.3% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo should see a rise in performance across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Dalton Knecht Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Knecht
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-132

Dalton Knecht has sunk 6.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Dalton Knecht has sunk 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Dalton Knecht has tallied 30.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup.

Dalton Knecht

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Dalton Knecht has sunk 6.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Dalton Knecht has sunk 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Dalton Knecht has tallied 30.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-150

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson registers in the 84th percentile for 3-point attempts at home, averaging 6.0 per game this year. Duncan Robinson has averaged 26.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson figures to see a spike in production in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson registers in the 84th percentile for 3-point attempts at home, averaging 6.0 per game this year. Duncan Robinson has averaged 26.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson figures to see a spike in production in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Max Christie Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Max Christie has converted 57.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Max Christie slots into the 21st percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 1.2 fouls per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games.

Max Christie

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Max Christie has converted 57.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Max Christie slots into the 21st percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 1.2 fouls per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a strong matchup. Haywood Highsmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance for all stats.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a strong matchup. Haywood Highsmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance for all stats.

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-109

The Lakers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Rui Hachimura will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

The Lakers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Rui Hachimura will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-118

Terry Rozier has attempted 5.7 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. Terry Rozier will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Terry Rozier has attempted 5.7 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat. Terry Rozier will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts stat production for all stats.

D'Angelo Russell Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Russell
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

D'Angelo Russell has attempted 5.5 treys per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive production. D'Angelo Russell has successfully made 89.1% of his free throws without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

D'Angelo Russell

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

D'Angelo Russell has attempted 5.5 treys per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive production. D'Angelo Russell has successfully made 89.1% of his free throws without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-113

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year. The Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year. The Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 94th percentile for field goal attempts, compiling 17.6 per game this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 10.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.1 rate last year. Tyler Herro has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. Tyler Herro has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 12th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 94th percentile for field goal attempts, compiling 17.6 per game this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 10.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.1 rate last year. Tyler Herro has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. Tyler Herro has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 12th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Miami Heat.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-122

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis registers in the 99th percentile for shots from the field drained, averaging a monstrous 10.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The rate of three-pointers hit against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (56.9%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). In contrast to last year's 5.5 rate, Anthony Davis's foul shots hit have risen this year to 7.2 per game.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis registers in the 99th percentile for shots from the field drained, averaging a monstrous 10.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The rate of three-pointers hit against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (56.9%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). In contrast to last year's 5.5 rate, Anthony Davis's foul shots hit have risen this year to 7.2 per game.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

In comparison to last year's 1.8 mark, Austin Reaves's threes hit have increased this year to 2.6 per game. Austin Reaves has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive production. Austin Reaves has made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's made in all games this year away from home.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

In comparison to last year's 1.8 mark, Austin Reaves's threes hit have increased this year to 2.6 per game. Austin Reaves has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive production. Austin Reaves has made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's made in all games this year away from home.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

LeBron James has attempted 17.3 shots per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, LeBron James slots into the 79th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 5.5 per game this year. LeBron James has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against Miami is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).

LeBron James

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

LeBron James has attempted 17.3 shots per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, LeBron James slots into the 79th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 5.5 per game this year. LeBron James has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against Miami is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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