Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48

Sacramento @ San Antonio picks

Frost Bank Center

SAC vs SA Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Huerter o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -133 caesars
Projection updated: 140 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -135
6.5 +100
6.5 -133
6.5 -103
7.5 -105
7.5 -125
7.5 -112
7.5 -108

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Points Scored
H. Barnes u11.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u11.5 +100 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 140 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -110
11.5 -120
11.5 -132
11.5 +100
11.5 -114
11.5 -120
11.5 -105
11.5 -125
11.5 +102
11.5 -124

The Spurs check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year with respect to field goal attempts. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Points Scored
K. Murray o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -130 fanduel
Projection updated: 141 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -120
12.5 -110
11.5 -130
11.5 -103
12.5 -114
12.5 -120
12.5 -115
12.5 -115
11.5 -130
11.5 +106

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 37.2 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.4% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Points Scored
S. Castle u14.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 140 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -130
14.5 -105
14.5 -105
14.5 -127
14.5 -109
14.5 -125
14.5 -110
14.5 -120
14.5 -105
14.5 -115

Out of all players in the league, Stephon Castle places in the 23rd percentile for 3-point efficiency playing at home with a bad 25.1% rate this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year with respect to field goal attempts.

Total Assists
K. Johnson o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +115 betmgm
Projection updated: 140 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +100
1.5 -130
1.5 +115
1.5 -155
1.5 +104
1.5 -143

The San Antonio Spurs will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keldon Johnson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player production for all stats.

3-Pointers Made
J. Sochan o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +115 bet365
Projection updated: 140 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 +115
0.5 -145
0.5 +100
0.5 -135
0.5 -106
0.5 -128

Jeremy Sochan has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The San Antonio Spurs will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jeremy Sochan will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player performance across the board.

Total Assists
J. Sochan o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +105 bet365
Projection updated: 140 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +105
2.5 -135
2.5 -105
2.5 -130
2.5 -120
2.5 -114
2.5 -125
2.5 -105
2.5 -114
2.5 -106

Jeremy Sochan has posted 3.3 assists per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard. Jeremy Sochan has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The San Antonio Spurs will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jeremy Sochan will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player performance across the board.

Points Scored
J. Champagnie u13.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -120 draftkings
Projection updated: 140 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -130
12.5 -105
12.5 -121
12.5 -110
12.5 -128
12.5 -106
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
13.5 +104
13.5 -128

The Spurs check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year with respect to field goal attempts.

3-Pointers Made
V. Wembanyama u3.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 -130 bet365
Projection updated: 141 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +100
3.5 -130
3.5 +100
3.5 -135
3.5 +125
3.5 -167
3.5 +100
3.5 -137
3.5 +120
3.5 -154
3.5 +118
3.5 -150

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Spurs's subpar 32.1% rate of successful threes playing at home ranks 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

SAC vs SA Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

63% picking San Antonio

37%
63%

Total Picks SAC 262, SA 442

Spread
SAC
SA

SAC vs SA Top User Picks

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User Picks

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