BOS -5.5 o200.0
ORL 5.5 u200.0
IND 5.0 o229.5
MIL -5.0 u229.5
LAL 3.5 o208.0
MIN -3.5 u208.0
Phoenix 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Phoenix @ Miami picks

Kaseya Center

PHO vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks
3-Pointers Made
B. Adebayo u0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +115 bet365
Projection updated: 139 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -145
0.5 +115
0.5 -150
0.5 +115
0.5 -147
0.5 +108
0.5 -142
0.5 +110

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
G. Allen o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -125 betmgm
Projection updated: 139 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -125
11.5 -105
12.5 +100
12.5 -132
11.5 -143
11.5 +104
12.5 -105
12.5 -125
12.5 +100
12.5 -122

Grayson Allen has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Total Assists
G. Allen u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 -130 bet365
Projection updated: 139 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +100
2.5 -130
2.5 +100
2.5 -135
2.5 +104
2.5 -143

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Suns. The Suns are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Grayson Allen stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Points Scored
M. Plumlee o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -128 fanduel
Projection updated: 139 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -120
7.5 -110
7.5 -114
7.5 -120
7.5 -120
7.5 -110
6.5 -128
6.5 +104

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when Adebayo is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 52.2% of their three-pointers (96th percentile). The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
T. Herro u24.5 Points Scored
Projection 22.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u24.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 139 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
24.5 -110
24.5 -120
23.5 -121
23.5 -110
24.5 +100
24.5 -137
23.5 -110
23.5 -120
23.5 +102
23.5 -124

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up 12.2 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

Total Assists
T. Jones o6.5 Total Assists
Projection 7.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -106 caesars
Projection updated: 139 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -110
6.5 -120
6.5 -127
6.5 -105
6.5 -106
6.5 -128
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
6.5 -110
6.5 -110

Tyus Jones has posted 7.0 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.2 minutes per game this year. Tyus Jones has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

PHO vs MIA Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

63% picking Phoenix vs Miami to go Over

63%
37%

Total PicksPHO 274, MIA 164

Total
Over
Under

PHO vs MIA Top User Picks

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