NY -7.0 o214.0
ORL 7.0 u214.0
SA -7.0 o213.0
BK 7.0 u213.0
IND 12.5 o231.0
BOS -12.5 u231.0
MIN 1.0 o212.5
HOU -1.0 u212.5
MEM -9.0 o237.0
NO 9.0 u237.0
CLE -3.0 o235.5
DEN 3.0 u235.5
DAL 1.0 o224.0
PHO -1.0 u224.0
GS 4.0 o212.5
LAC -4.0 u212.5
Minnesota 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE15-14
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE21-9

Minnesota @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road. The matchup against Houston is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are playing at home (6th-most in the league).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road. The matchup against Houston is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are playing at home (6th-most in the league).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves. Naz Reid has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

With respect to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 14.8 drained threes per game places 6th-most in the league this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves. Naz Reid has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Rockets are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the league this year (24.8%). The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league). Anthony Edwards ought to see a decline in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Rockets are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the league this year (24.8%). The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league). Anthony Edwards ought to see a decline in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Fred VanVleet has successfully made 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's sunk in all games this year at home.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Fred VanVleet has successfully made 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's sunk in all games this year at home.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-worst in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup. The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Timberwolves). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to draw fouls.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-worst in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup. The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Timberwolves). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to draw fouls.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (weakest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, marking this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. Julius Randle will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Julius Randle

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (weakest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, marking this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. Julius Randle will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 43.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. has made 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 43.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. has made 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jalen Green has sunk 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green registers in the 94th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 7.8 per game this year. Jalen Green has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.6). The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.

Jalen Green

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Jalen Green has sunk 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green registers in the 94th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 7.8 per game this year. Jalen Green has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.6). The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Alperen Sengun has attempted 14.9 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Alperen Sengun has tallied 30.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Alperen Sengun has attempted 14.9 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Alperen Sengun has tallied 30.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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