Minnesota @ Detroit picks

Ausar Thompson has played a measly 17.6 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 25.2 minutes per game last season. Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (89th percentile). In regard to treys, the Pistons's subpar 33.7% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 5th-worst in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player production across the board.

Donte DiVincenzo has made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Donte DiVincenzo has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-pointers. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Donte DiVincenzo has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's made overall this year when playing away from home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren places in the 99th percentile for shooting ability with an excellent 69.1% rate this year. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Duren has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 33.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Jalen Duren will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all stat categories.