Miami @ Sacramento picks

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 22.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 53.9% of his field goals away from home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a positive matchup. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat. Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 20.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on the road.

De'Aaron Fox has compiled 6.1 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's hottest in this category over this stretch: 95th percentile. De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. De'Aaron Fox will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%). The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's converted overall this year away from his home court.

Malik Monk has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile). The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.