Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Los Angeles @ Dallas picks

American Airlines Center

LAL vs DAL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
D. Lively o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -125 caesars
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -130
8.5 -105
9.5 -130
9.5 -103
8.5 -125
8.5 -109
9.5 -125
9.5 -105

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency with the home court advantage with a great 71.7% rate this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will likely see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Points Scored
D. Finney-Smith o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -110
6.5 -120
6.5 -133
6.5 -103
6.5 -130
6.5 +100
7.5 -102
7.5 -120

Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Points Scored
Q. Grimes o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 14 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -118 fanduel
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 +110
13.5 -145
11.5 -129
11.5 -104
13.5 +126
13.5 -175
11.5 -125
11.5 -105
11.5 -118
11.5 -104

Quentin Grimes has sunk 55.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 12.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court. Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Quentin Grimes has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
M. Christie o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 +116 caesars
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 +100
9.5 -135
9.5 +116
9.5 -161
9.5 +100
9.5 -130
9.5 +104
9.5 -128

Max Christie has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.8% higher than he's made in all games this year. Max Christie has converted 48.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Max Christie has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Lakers will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Points Scored
N. Marshall o14.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
15.5 -120
15.5 -112
15.5 -128
15.5 -106
15.5 -110
15.5 -120
15.5 +102
15.5 -124

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has made 89.5% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Los Angeles Lakers are away from home (4th-most in the NBA).

Points Scored
S. Dinwiddie u13.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
13.5 -103
13.5 -133
13.5 -105
13.5 -125
13.5 +108
13.5 -132

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3). The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.

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