Final Mar 9
DEN 103 7.5 o242.5
OKC 127 -7.5 u242.5
Final Mar 9
PHO 125 -6.5 o229.0
DAL 116 6.5 u229.0
Final Mar 9
MEM 107 -10.0 o239.0
NO 104 10.0 u239.0
Final Mar 9
UTA 122 6.0 o231.5
PHI 126 -6.0 u231.5
Final Mar 9
SA 124 11.0 o232.5
MIN 141 -11.0 u232.5
Final Mar 9
CLE 112 -7.0 o241.5
MIL 100 7.0 u241.5
Final Mar 9
DET 119 -4.0 o231.5
POR 112 4.0 u231.5
Final OT Mar 9
SAC 110 6.0 o215.5
LAC 111 -6.0 u215.5
Memphis 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-24
Minnesota 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE37-29

Memphis @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-133
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-133
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA). Ja Morant ought to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Ja Morant

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA). Ja Morant ought to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Zach Edey has converted 62.0% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Zach Edey lands in the 96th percentile for three-point proficiency with a very good 46.7% rate this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zach Edey

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Zach Edey has converted 62.0% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Zach Edey lands in the 96th percentile for three-point proficiency with a very good 46.7% rate this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-120

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 63.3% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Zach Edey has been remarkably high this year (3.8 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 80th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 63.3% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Zach Edey has been remarkably high this year (3.8 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 80th percentile).

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jaylen Wells has attempted 7.0 treys per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Jaylen Wells has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 12.0% more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Jaylen Wells has attempted 7.0 treys per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Jaylen Wells has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 12.0% more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle lands in the 89th percentile, totaling a colossal 19.6 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game at home this year. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle lands in the 89th percentile, totaling a colossal 19.6 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game at home this year. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has attempted 23.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted overall this year. Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 4.3 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 mark last season. Anthony Edwards has played 35.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

Anthony Edwards has attempted 23.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted overall this year. Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 4.3 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 mark last season. Anthony Edwards has played 35.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-106

Jaden McDaniels has converted 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this season at home. Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.1 minutes per game at home this year. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.9% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Jaden McDaniels has converted 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this season at home. Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.1 minutes per game at home this year. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.9% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • Minnesota

D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 17.0 points per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Donte DiVincenzo

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 17.0 points per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson
center C • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 5.1 per game this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 5.1 per game this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Desmond Bane has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 1.3 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Desmond Bane will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Desmond Bane has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 1.3 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Desmond Bane will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has attempted 4.9 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). Naz Reid has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Naz Reid figures to get a boost in efficiency across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Naz Reid has attempted 4.9 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). Naz Reid has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Naz Reid figures to get a boost in efficiency across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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