CLE -6.0 o213.5
MIA 6.0 u213.5
OKC -15.0 o222.5
MEM 15.0 u222.5
DEN 6.5 o212.5
LAC -6.5 u212.5
HOU 3.0 o204.0
GS -3.0 u204.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Portland 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46

Miami @ Portland props

Moda Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Clingan Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Clingan
center C • Portland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-109

Donovan Clingan has successfully made 53.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Donovan Clingan has successfully made 42.9% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The rate of three-point shots sunk against Bam Adebayo has been very high (51.1%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Donovan Clingan will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance for all stats.

Donovan Clingan

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Donovan Clingan has successfully made 53.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Donovan Clingan has successfully made 42.9% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The rate of three-point shots sunk against Bam Adebayo has been very high (51.1%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Donovan Clingan will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance for all stats.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Portland is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Trail Blazers are playing at home (7th-most in the league).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Portland is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Trail Blazers are playing at home (7th-most in the league).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goals (highest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a strong matchup. Terry Rozier has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's made in all games this year. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goals (highest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a strong matchup. Terry Rozier has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's made in all games this year. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-128

Anfernee Simons has sunk 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game at home this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Anfernee Simons has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's converted overall this season.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Anfernee Simons has sunk 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game at home this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Anfernee Simons has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's converted overall this season.

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-130

Deni Avdija has notched 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.5 higher than he's notched in all games this year at home. Deni Avdija has converted 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 18.2% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while at home. Deni Avdija has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Deni Avdija

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Deni Avdija has notched 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.5 higher than he's notched in all games this year at home. Deni Avdija has converted 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 18.2% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while at home. Deni Avdija has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Deandre Ayton has converted a whopping 20.2% of his three-point shots this season, a significant increase from his 11.1 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.1 minutes per game this year. The rate of three-point shots sunk against Bam Adebayo has been very high (51.1%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Deandre Ayton has converted a whopping 20.2% of his three-point shots this season, a significant increase from his 11.1 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.1 minutes per game this year. The rate of three-point shots sunk against Bam Adebayo has been very high (51.1%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

Compared to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this year to 9.5 per game. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 95th percentile. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Tyler Herro has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Compared to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this year to 9.5 per game. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 95th percentile. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Tyler Herro has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 25.7% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup against Portland is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.4). The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 25.7% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup against Portland is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.4). The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
+104

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 84th percentile for shots, logging 13.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo lands in the 90th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, tallying a monstrous 4.1 foul shot attempts per game while on the road this year. The matchup against Donovan Clingan is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when Clingan is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.9 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 84th percentile for shots, logging 13.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo lands in the 90th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, tallying a monstrous 4.1 foul shot attempts per game while on the road this year. The matchup against Donovan Clingan is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when Clingan is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.9 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Scoot Henderson Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Henderson
point guard PG • Portland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-125

Scoot Henderson has attempted 5.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Scoot Henderson has converted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Scoot Henderson is expected to see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Scoot Henderson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Scoot Henderson has attempted 5.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Scoot Henderson has converted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Scoot Henderson is expected to see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Toumani Camara has converted 5.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Toumani Camara comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Toumani Camara has successfully made 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 14.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing at home.

Toumani Camara

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Toumani Camara has converted 5.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Toumani Camara comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Toumani Camara has successfully made 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 14.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing at home.

Shaedon Sharpe Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Sharpe
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-127

Shaedon Sharpe has converted 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Shaedon Sharpe comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Shaedon Sharpe has converted 83.9% of his free throws over the last 12 games at home, 12.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Shaedon Sharpe

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Shaedon Sharpe has converted 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Shaedon Sharpe comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Shaedon Sharpe has converted 83.9% of his free throws over the last 12 games at home, 12.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-130

Nikola Jovic has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Nikola Jovic has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic