San Antonio @ Los Angeles picks

Stephon Castle has successfully made 36.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the league. Stephon Castle has converted 23.6% of his 3-pointers away from home this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league. The Spurs have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year. The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for scoring; when the Lakers are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (37.1%). The Spurs are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).

The Lakers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.1% more than he's converted overall this season. Dorian Finney-Smith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increase stat production across the board.

Victor Wembanyama has posted 4.8 assists per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's posted overall this year on the road. Victor Wembanyama has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile. The 7th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).