Denver @ Dallas picks

Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown playing at home, putting up 7.7 per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has sunk 93.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this season. Quentin Grimes has averaged 27.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II has made 77.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Jamal Murray has tallied 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this metric recently: 79th percentile. Jamal Murray has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the away team with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.