WAS 13.5 o234.0
DET -13.5 u234.0
LAL 7.0 o225.0
MIL -7.0 u225.0
ORL -2.5 o216.5
NO 2.5 u216.5
BK 2.0 o229.5
CHI -2.0 u229.5
SAC 7.0 o234.5
GS -7.0 u234.5
Minnesota 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE38-29
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE33-34

Minnesota @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Points Scored Props • Dallas

O. Prosper
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Olivier-Maxence Prosper registers in the 5th percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 0.4 fouls per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Olivier-Maxence Prosper is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Out of all players in the NBA, Olivier-Maxence Prosper registers in the 5th percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 0.4 fouls per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Olivier-Maxence Prosper is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (2.8 free throws per game when they have the home court advantage: 77th percentile). Daniel Gafford stands to see a spike in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Daniel Gafford has made 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (2.8 free throws per game when they have the home court advantage: 77th percentile). Daniel Gafford stands to see a spike in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Mike Conley has successfully made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.

Mike Conley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Mike Conley has successfully made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has tallied 32.9 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Daniel Gafford places in the 90th percentile with a whopping 11.2 shots from the field against him per game this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.4 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Rudy Gobert has tallied 32.9 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Daniel Gafford places in the 90th percentile with a whopping 11.2 shots from the field against him per game this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.4 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes has converted 50.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year playing at home. Quentin Grimes has converted 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year at home. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a favorable matchup. Quentin Grimes will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance across the board.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Quentin Grimes has converted 50.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year playing at home. Quentin Grimes has converted 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year at home. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a favorable matchup. Quentin Grimes will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance across the board.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's played overall this season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from his home court. The matchup against Dallas may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks are at home (8th-most in the league).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Jaden McDaniels has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's played overall this season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from his home court. The matchup against Dallas may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks are at home (8th-most in the league).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Julius Randle measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle ranks in the 94th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a monstrous 5.3 free throws per game this year.

Julius Randle

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Among all players in the NBA, Julius Randle measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle ranks in the 94th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a monstrous 5.3 free throws per game this year.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 11.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted overall this year. Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 5.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's played overall this year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a favorable matchup.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 11.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted overall this year. Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 5.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's played overall this year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a favorable matchup.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-110

Anthony Edwards has compiled 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season. Anthony Edwards has attempted 9.9 treys per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.8 rate last year. Anthony Edwards has played 36.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Anthony Edwards has compiled 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season. Anthony Edwards has attempted 9.9 treys per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.8 rate last year. Anthony Edwards has played 36.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson lands in the 94th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an excellent 92.4% rate this year. Klay Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson lands in the 94th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an excellent 92.4% rate this year. Klay Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year. Naz Reid should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Naz Reid

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year. Naz Reid should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. P.J. Washington has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line. P.J. Washington should see a rise in productivity for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. P.J. Washington has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line. P.J. Washington should see a rise in productivity for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Maxi Kleber has made 44.0% of his three-point attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Maxi Kleber has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Maxi Kleber figures to see a rise in production for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.6

Maxi Kleber has made 44.0% of his three-point attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 115.2 points per game places 10th-strongest in the league this year. Maxi Kleber has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Maxi Kleber figures to see a rise in production for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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