Final Apr 26
CLE 124 -5.0 o212.0
MIA 87 5.0 u212.0
Final Apr 26
OKC 117 -15.0 o224.0
MEM 115 15.0 u224.0
Final Apr 26
DEN 101 6.5 o211.5
LAC 99 -6.5 u211.5
Final Apr 26
HOU 93 1.5 o205.0
GS 104 -1.5 u205.0
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Golden State @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-110

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 59.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 59.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Dennis Schröder Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Schröder
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-109

Among all players in the league, Dennis Schroder ranks in the 85th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 5.8 per game this year. Dennis Schroder has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a good matchup for offensive output. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Dennis Schröder

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Among all players in the league, Dennis Schroder ranks in the 85th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 5.8 per game this year. Dennis Schroder has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a good matchup for offensive output. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has successfully made 49.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Moses Moody has made 46.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Moses Moody has been on the court for 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Moses Moody

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Moses Moody has successfully made 49.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Moses Moody has made 46.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Moses Moody has been on the court for 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has attempted and missed 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's missed from downtown in all games this season. The Kings check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league while at home this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Trey Lyles has attempted and missed 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's missed from downtown in all games this season. The Kings check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league while at home this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-124

Buddy Hield has attempted 13.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Buddy Hield has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Buddy Hield has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.4 more than he's tallied overall this year on the road. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a good matchup for offensive output. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Buddy Hield

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Buddy Hield has attempted 13.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Buddy Hield has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Buddy Hield has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.4 more than he's tallied overall this year on the road. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a good matchup for offensive output. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Gary Payton Points Scored Props • Golden State

G. Payton
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 38.2% clip, Gary Payton II's three-point ability has diminished this year to 15.2%. The Warriors have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Gary Payton II has converted 52.5% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league. Gary Payton II ought to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Gary Payton

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Compared to last year's 38.2% clip, Gary Payton II's three-point ability has diminished this year to 15.2%. The Warriors have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Gary Payton II has converted 52.5% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league. Gary Payton II ought to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 99th percentile for shots hit, totaling a monstrous 9.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 85th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on his home court, totaling 5.8 per game this year. De'Aaron Fox has played 37.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 24.4 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making this a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 99th percentile for shots hit, totaling a monstrous 9.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 85th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on his home court, totaling 5.8 per game this year. De'Aaron Fox has played 37.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 24.4 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making this a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Warriors have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%). The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Stephen Curry ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

The Warriors have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%). The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Stephen Curry ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-130

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 93rd percentile for scoring effectiveness on his home court with a remarkable 61.0% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 65.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 16.7% more than he's made from three overall this year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 93rd percentile for scoring effectiveness on his home court with a remarkable 61.0% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 65.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 16.7% more than he's made from three overall this year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 82nd percentile, compiling an enormous 16.2 points per game without the home court advantage this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup against Sacramento is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Kings have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 82nd percentile, compiling an enormous 16.2 points per game without the home court advantage this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup against Sacramento is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Kings have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Malik Monk has attempted 20.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Monk has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Monk has converted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season on his home court.

Malik Monk

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Malik Monk has attempted 20.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Monk has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Monk has converted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season on his home court.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Keegan Murray has attempted 7.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Keegan Murray has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Keegan Murray has attempted 7.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Keegan Murray has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 1.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 1.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Kings have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The clash with Domantas Sabonis as it relates to getting to the foul line ranks in only the 90th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.0 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The clash with Domantas Sabonis as it relates to getting to the foul line ranks in only the 90th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.0 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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