BK -3.0 o217.0
WAS 3.0 u217.0
CHI 4.5 o233.5
PHI -4.5 u233.5
LAC 1.5 o221.5
DET -1.5 u221.5
DEN -4.5 o246.0
IND 4.5 u246.0
MIA 1.0 o231.0
ATL -1.0 u231.0
MIN 12.0 o228.5
OKC -12.0 u228.5
POR -6.5 o231.5
UTA 6.5 u231.5
CHA 11.0 o233.0
SAC -11.0 u233.0
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE26-29
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE32-24

Miami @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 62.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 33.1% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 62.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 33.1% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Pelle Larsson Points Scored Props • Miami

P. Larsson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Pelle Larsson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 36.7% more than he's made overall this year on the road. The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the NBA).

Pelle Larsson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Pelle Larsson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 36.7% more than he's made overall this year on the road. The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the NBA).

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has made 51.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Taurean Prince has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Taurean Prince has made 51.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Taurean Prince has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 82nd percentile for shots, logging 13.2 per game this year. Bam Adebayo has converted 50.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 19.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a massive 33.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. When facing fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 2.7 treys attempted against him per game this year.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 82nd percentile for shots, logging 13.2 per game this year. Bam Adebayo has converted 50.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 19.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a massive 33.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. When facing fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 2.7 treys attempted against him per game this year.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Brook Lopez has sunk 1.9 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Brook Lopez has tallied 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one for 3-point shots; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 44.3% of their three-point attempts (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Brook Lopez has sunk 1.9 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Brook Lopez has tallied 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one for 3-point shots; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 44.3% of their three-point attempts (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Bobby Portis lands in the 77th percentile for shots taken on his home court, registering 11.0 per game this year. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Bobby Portis has sunk 88.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 7.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Bobby Portis will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Among all players in the NBA, Bobby Portis lands in the 77th percentile for shots taken on his home court, registering 11.0 per game this year. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Bobby Portis has sunk 88.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 7.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Bobby Portis will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson places in the 90th percentile for three-point attempts, logging 6.6 per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.2 field goals per game (5th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a strong matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson places in the 90th percentile for three-point attempts, logging 6.6 per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.2 field goals per game (5th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a strong matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-120

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo has notched 31.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.9
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.9

Giannis Antetokounmpo has notched 31.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Nikola Jovic will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats in light of being on the road in this game.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Nikola Jovic will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats in light of being on the road in this game.

Andre Jackson Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

A. Jackson
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Andre Jackson Jr. has converted 43.3% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 12.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Andre Jackson Jr. will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production across the board.

Andre Jackson

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.3

Andre Jackson Jr. has converted 43.3% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 12.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Andre Jackson Jr. will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production across the board.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has made 64.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's made over the course of the season away from home. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Kel'el Ware has made 64.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's made over the course of the season away from home. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road with respect to three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Khris Middleton has successfully made 61.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Khris Middleton has successfully made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court. Khris Middleton stands to see a rise in output in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Khris Middleton has successfully made 61.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season. In regard to offense, the Bucks's stellar 125.2 points per game playing at home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Khris Middleton has successfully made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court. Khris Middleton stands to see a rise in output in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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