Denver @ Minnesota picks

Jaden McDaniels has compiled 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's compiled in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Christian Braun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 67.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 17.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season at home. Jaden McDaniels has sunk 68.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 25.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season with the home court advantage. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Nikola Jokic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

Jamal Murray has tallied 1.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.