BOS -4.5 o198.0
ORL 4.5 u198.0
IND 5.5 o230.5
MIL -5.5 u230.5
LAL 3.0 o206.5
MIN -3.0 u206.5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Chicago 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Denver @ Chicago picks

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DEN vs CHI Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
P. Williams o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 88 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
9.5 -122
9.5 -109
8.5 -105
8.5 -125
8.5 -120
8.5 -102

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a strong matchup. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The clash with Michael Porter Jr. when it comes to getting to the free-throw line rates in only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting PFs attempting a whopping 3.4 free throws per game this year when they are at home.

Points Scored
J. Murray o20.5 Points Scored
Projection 23.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o20.5 -114 fanduel
Projection updated: 88 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
20.5 -115
20.5 -118
20.5 -117
20.5 -114
21.5 -110
21.5 -120
20.5 -114
20.5 -106

Jamal Murray has converted 11.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home. Jamal Murray has sunk 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season when playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray places in the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Bulls have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Nuggets.

Points Scored
C. Braun u12.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u12.5 +100 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 88 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -118
12.5 -110
12.5 -132
12.5 +100
12.5 -120
12.5 -110
12.5 -105
12.5 -115

Among all players in the league, Christian Braun measures in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.2 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The matchup vs. the Bulls is a challenging one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (23.9%). Christian Braun is expected to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Total Rebounds
A. Dosunmu o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +100 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 88 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -150
2.5 +115
2.5 +100
2.5 -134
2.5 -145
2.5 +114
3.5 +118
3.5 -144

Out of all players in the league, Ayo Dosunmu places in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.3 minutes per game this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). Ayo Dosunmu will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts player production across the board.

Points Scored
J. Giddey o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 15.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 88 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 +100
14.5 -130
13.5 -120
13.5 -110
13.5 -105
13.5 -125
13.5 -108
13.5 -112

Josh Giddey has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). Josh Giddey has sunk 89.6% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's converted overall this year.

Total Assists
M. Porter Jr. o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +110 bet365
Projection updated: 88 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +110
1.5 -140
1.5 +110
1.5 -145
1.5 -110
1.5 -120

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.3 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Bulls have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Total Assists
P. Williams o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +105 draftkings
Projection updated: 88 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -115
1.5 -115
1.5 -110
1.5 -118
1.5 +105
1.5 -135

The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). Patrick Williams will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

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