Orlando @ Golden State picks
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ORL vs GS Picks
NBA PicksKentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 30.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Magic have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing away from home. The matchup against the Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).
Jalen Suggs has attempted 9.0 threes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Jalen Suggs has tallied 28.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on threes (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. The Magic have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.2 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.
With respect to scoring, the Orlando Magic's feeble 103.7 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA this year. The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Orlando Magic. Franz Wagner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.
Anthony Black has attempted 10.1 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Anthony Black has made 48.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 23.5% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Anthony Black has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on threes (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. The Magic have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Wendell Carter Jr. has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 27.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court. Draymond Green should see a spike in production in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.