CLE -6.0 o213.5
MIA 6.0 u213.5
OKC -15.0 o222.5
MEM 15.0 u222.5
DEN 6.5 o212.5
LAC -6.5 u212.5
HOU 3.0 o204.0
GS -3.0 u204.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Philadelphia 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE24-58

Miami @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

Tyrese Maxey has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league at home this year. The Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

Tyrese Maxey has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league at home this year. The Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.7 treys per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Duncan Robinson has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 18.4 points per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance. Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson registers in the 90th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with an outstanding 89.6% rate this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.7 treys per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Duncan Robinson has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 18.4 points per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance. Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson registers in the 90th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with an outstanding 89.6% rate this year.

Guerschon Yabusele Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

G. Yabusele
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-135

Guerschon Yabusele has converted 66.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% more than he's made over the course of the year while playing at home. The faceoff with Kel'el Ware slots into the 97th percentile with opposing starting Cs making a colossal 45.2% of their three-pointers this year. Guerschon Yabusele has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year. When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's terrific 22.8 foul shot attempts per game rates 4th-best in the league over the last 25 games. Guerschon Yabusele will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production across the board.

Guerschon Yabusele

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Guerschon Yabusele has converted 66.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% more than he's made over the course of the year while playing at home. The faceoff with Kel'el Ware slots into the 97th percentile with opposing starting Cs making a colossal 45.2% of their three-pointers this year. Guerschon Yabusele has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year. When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's terrific 22.8 foul shot attempts per game rates 4th-best in the league over the last 25 games. Guerschon Yabusele will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production across the board.

Kelly Oubre Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. comes in at the 79th percentile for shots from the field, putting up 11.9 per game this year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 40.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied overall this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Kelly Oubre

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. comes in at the 79th percentile for shots from the field, putting up 11.9 per game this year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 40.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied overall this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-125

Nikola Jovic has sunk 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage. Nikola Jovic has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Nikola Jovic has sunk 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage. Nikola Jovic has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

Paul George Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

P. George
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Paul George has converted 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this season while at home. Among all players in the league, Paul George rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for threes; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). Paul George has successfully made 94.4% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's terrific 22.8 foul shot attempts per game rates 4th-best in the league over the last 25 games.

Paul George

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Paul George has converted 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this season while at home. Among all players in the league, Paul George rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for threes; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). Paul George has successfully made 94.4% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's terrific 22.8 foul shot attempts per game rates 4th-best in the league over the last 25 games.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 33.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 33.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Tyler Herro has put up 23.8 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 94th percentile. In comparison to last season's 3.2 rate, Tyler Herro's 3-pointers hit have risen this season to 3.8 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 9th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.7%).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Tyler Herro has put up 23.8 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 94th percentile. In comparison to last season's 3.2 rate, Tyler Herro's 3-pointers hit have risen this season to 3.8 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 9th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.7%).

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has sunk 59.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from home. Kel'el Ware has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 28.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Kel'el Ware has sunk 59.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from home. Kel'el Ware has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 28.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Bam Adebayo has sunk 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's made in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has made 53.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 28.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Bam Adebayo has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (45.6%).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Bam Adebayo has sunk 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's made in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has made 53.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 28.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Bam Adebayo has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (45.6%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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