Final Mar 9
DEN 103 7.5 o242.5
OKC 127 -7.5 u242.5
Final Mar 9
PHO 125 -6.5 o229.0
DAL 116 6.5 u229.0
Final Mar 9
MEM 107 -10.0 o239.0
NO 104 10.0 u239.0
Final Mar 9
UTA 122 6.0 o231.5
PHI 126 -6.0 u231.5
Final Mar 9
SA 124 11.0 o232.5
MIN 141 -11.0 u232.5
Final Mar 9
CLE 112 -7.0 o241.5
MIL 100 7.0 u241.5
Final Mar 9
DET 119 -4.0 o231.5
POR 112 4.0 u231.5
Final OT Mar 9
SAC 110 6.0 o215.5
LAC 111 -6.0 u215.5
Houston 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-25
Minnesota 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE37-29

Houston @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on field goals (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Mike Conley has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on field goals (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 72.1% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.2% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.3 minutes per game this year. Rudy Gobert has accumulated a lowly 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.2 fouls per game last year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Rudy Gobert has sunk 72.1% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.2% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.3 minutes per game this year. Rudy Gobert has accumulated a lowly 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.2 fouls per game last year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's poor 111.1 points per game as the home team ranks 7th-weakest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home. The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's poor 111.1 points per game as the home team ranks 7th-weakest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home. The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

Cam Whitmore Points Scored Props • Houston

C. Whitmore
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Cam Whitmore has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Cam Whitmore

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Cam Whitmore has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has made 60.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Jaden McDaniels has converted 64.7% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 18.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while at home. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Jaden McDaniels has made 60.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Jaden McDaniels has converted 64.7% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 18.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while at home. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has tallied 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Dillon Brooks has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 87th percentile. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Dillon Brooks has tallied 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Dillon Brooks has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 87th percentile. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 8.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted overall this season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.7% more than he's made in all games this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 8.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted overall this season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.7% more than he's made in all games this year.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 31.7% rate, Alperen Sengun's three-point effectiveness has tailed off this season to 22.1%. Alperen Sengun has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Rudy Gobert ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs sinking only 49.8% of their field goals this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should reduce possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Relative to last season's 31.7% rate, Alperen Sengun's three-point effectiveness has tailed off this season to 22.1%. Alperen Sengun has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Rudy Gobert ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs sinking only 49.8% of their field goals this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should reduce possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson has totaled 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.9 higher than he's totaled overall this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson ranks in the 85th percentile for scoring ability when playing on the road with a superb 54.2% rate this year. Amen Thompson has been on the court for 38.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Amen Thompson has totaled 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.9 higher than he's totaled overall this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson ranks in the 85th percentile for scoring ability when playing on the road with a superb 54.2% rate this year. Amen Thompson has been on the court for 38.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has successfully made 42.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year. Tari Eason has sunk an impressive 72.4% of his foul shots this year, significantly more than his 58.2 rate last year.

Tari Eason

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Tari Eason has successfully made 42.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year. Tari Eason has sunk an impressive 72.4% of his foul shots this year, significantly more than his 58.2 rate last year.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 56.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 16.0% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Naz Reid has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Naz Reid has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Naz Reid

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Naz Reid has converted 56.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 16.0% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Naz Reid has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Naz Reid has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Jalen Green has attempted 21.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jalen Green has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.1 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Jalen Green

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Jalen Green has attempted 21.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jalen Green has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.1 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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