LIVE 02:54 3rd Apr 25
BOS 68 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 71 5.5 u200.0
LIVE 03:57 2nd Apr 25
IND 43 4.5 o229.0
MIL 39 -4.5 u229.0
LAL 3.5 o208.0
MIN -3.5 u208.0
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30

Golden State @ Houston picks

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GS vs HOU Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
Q. Post o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -115 fanduel
Projection updated: 71 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +100
6.5 -135
5.5 -128
5.5 -106
5.5 -130
5.5 +100
5.5 -115
5.5 -105

Quinten Post has converted 57.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Quinten Post ranks in the 100th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year.

Total Assists
A. Thompson u5.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 +105 bet365
Projection updated: 71 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -135
5.5 +105
5.5 -125
5.5 -105
5.5 -137
5.5 +104
5.5 -128
5.5 -106
5.5 -125
5.5 -105
5.5 -118
5.5 -104

Amen Thompson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile). The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team.

Points Scored
D. Green o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 +104 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 71 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -125
7.5 -105
7.5 +104
7.5 -139
7.5 -125
7.5 -109
7.5 -115
7.5 -115
7.5 -106
7.5 -114

The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup against Houston may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage (most in the NBA).

Points Scored
B. Podziemski u12.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u12.5 +100 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 71 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -105
12.5 -125
12.5 -134
12.5 +100
12.5 -118
12.5 -118
12.5 -105
12.5 -125
12.5 +100
12.5 -122

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 7th-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.8 foul shots per game. Brandin Podziemski will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

Points Scored
B. Hield o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 +102 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 71 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -120
11.5 -110
11.5 +102
11.5 -136
11.5 -114
11.5 -120
11.5 -110
11.5 -120
11.5 -110
11.5 -110

Buddy Hield has attempted 13.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Buddy Hield has attempted 8.8 treys per game over the last 10 games away from home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Buddy Hield has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
A. Thompson o8.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 10.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -115 fanduel
Projection updated: 71 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
9.5 +102
9.5 -134
8.5 -133
8.5 -103
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
8.5 -115
8.5 -105

Amen Thompson has totaled 10.4 rebounds per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.1 more than he's totaled overall this season at home. Amen Thompson has been on the court for 38.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Amen Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Total Rebounds
D. Green o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 7 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -124 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 71 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -150
5.5 +110
5.5 -124
5.5 -108
5.5 -147
5.5 +108
5.5 -135
5.5 +105
5.5 -138
5.5 +112

The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

GS vs HOU Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

62% picking Golden State vs Houston to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksGS 259, HOU 162

Total
Over
Under

GS vs HOU Top User Picks

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User Picks

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