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Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30

Golden State @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Quinten Post Points Scored Props • Golden State

Q. Post
center C • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Quinten Post has converted 57.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Quinten Post ranks in the 100th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year.

Quinten Post

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Quinten Post has converted 57.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Quinten Post ranks in the 100th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+104

The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup against Houston may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage (most in the NBA).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup against Houston may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage (most in the NBA).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
+100

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 7th-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.8 foul shots per game. Brandin Podziemski will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 7th-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.8 foul shots per game. Brandin Podziemski will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+102

Buddy Hield has attempted 13.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Buddy Hield has attempted 8.8 treys per game over the last 10 games away from home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Buddy Hield has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Buddy Hield

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Buddy Hield has attempted 13.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Buddy Hield has attempted 8.8 treys per game over the last 10 games away from home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Buddy Hield has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 22.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 15th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's subpar 103.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the league over the last 5 games. The number of points tallied against Draymond Green has been remarkably low (10.9 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team.

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 22.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 15th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's subpar 103.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the league over the last 5 games. The number of points tallied against Draymond Green has been remarkably low (10.9 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Butler
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Under
-130

Jimmy Butler has converted a mere 0.5 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.0 rate last season. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 21.7% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 7th-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.8 foul shots per game. Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production for all stats.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Jimmy Butler has converted a mere 0.5 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.0 rate last season. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 21.7% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 7th-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.8 foul shots per game. Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production for all stats.

Cam Whitmore Points Scored Props • Houston

C. Whitmore
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Cam Whitmore has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Cam Whitmore will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production across the board.

Cam Whitmore

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Cam Whitmore has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Cam Whitmore will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production across the board.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Dillon Brooks has attempted 14.0 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Dillon Brooks has converted 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from three overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Dillon Brooks has attempted 14.0 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Dillon Brooks has converted 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from three overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday has attempted 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one; when the Golden State Warriors are on the road, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Aaron Holiday registers in the 92nd percentile for foul-shot performance with an impressive 90.0% rate this year.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Aaron Holiday has attempted 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one; when the Golden State Warriors are on the road, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Aaron Holiday registers in the 92nd percentile for foul-shot performance with an impressive 90.0% rate this year.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-114

Moses Moody has attempted 10.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted overall this season. Moses Moody has attempted 5.5 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Moses Moody has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 8.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Moses Moody

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Moses Moody has attempted 10.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted overall this season. Moses Moody has attempted 5.5 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Moses Moody has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 8.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jalen Green has attempted 20.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 8.2 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Green has played 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Jalen Green has attempted 20.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 8.2 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Green has played 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

In contrast to last season's 13.4% rate, Amen Thompson's 3-point prowess has increased this season to 21.9%. Amen Thompson has been on the court for 38.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

In contrast to last season's 13.4% rate, Amen Thompson's 3-point prowess has increased this season to 21.9%. Amen Thompson has been on the court for 38.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Stephen Curry has posted 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's posted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 11.2 per game this year. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

Stephen Curry has posted 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's posted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 11.2 per game this year. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile. The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gary Payton II Points Scored Props • Golden State

G. Payton II
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.45
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
-105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.45
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
-105

Gary Payton II has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.44
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-145
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.44
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-145

Kevon Looney has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Gui Santos Points Scored Props • Golden State

G. Santos
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.03
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.03
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110

Gui Santos has gone over 4.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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