Final Mar 16
ORL 108 10.0 o221.5
CLE 103 -10.0 u221.5
Final Mar 16
PHI 130 6.5 o224.0
DAL 125 -6.5 u224.0
Final Mar 16
PHO 96 3.0 o226.5
LAL 107 -3.0 u226.5
Final Mar 16
ATL 114 -6.5 o228.0
BK 122 6.5 u228.0
Final Mar 16
TOR 102 7.0 o226.0
POR 105 -7.0 u226.0
Final Mar 16
UTA 102 13.5 o232.0
MIN 128 -13.5 u232.0
Final Mar 16
CHA 88 13.5 o224.5
LAC 123 -13.5 u224.5
Final Mar 16
OKC 121 -5.5 o233.5
MIL 105 5.5 u233.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE33-33
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE18-50

Sacramento @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The number of field goals converted against Domantas Sabonis has been very high (5.8 per game) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (80th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Yves Missi will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

Yves Missi

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

The number of field goals converted against Domantas Sabonis has been very high (5.8 per game) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (80th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Yves Missi will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.3 fouls per game on his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.3 fouls per game on his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Keon Ellis has played 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's played overall this year. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Keon Ellis has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Keon Ellis has played 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's played overall this year. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III rates in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III rates in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has made 45.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing away from home. Keegan Murray has attempted 5.6 threes per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Keegan Murray has made 45.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing away from home. Keegan Murray has attempted 5.6 threes per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has attempted 18.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Malik Monk measures in the 92nd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 6.8 per game this year. Malik Monk has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 7.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a strong matchup. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Malik Monk has attempted 18.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Malik Monk measures in the 92nd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 6.8 per game this year. Malik Monk has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 7.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a strong matchup. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has converted 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while playing at home. Jose Alvarado has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Jose Alvarado has converted 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while playing at home. Jose Alvarado has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Zach LaVine has made 3.0 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Zach LaVine

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Zach LaVine has made 3.0 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Brown
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Bruce Brown has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's made over the course of the year. Bruce Brown will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 3rd-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Bruce Brown has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's made over the course of the year. Bruce Brown will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-106

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 61.3% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has converted 45.8% of his three-point shots without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.0 minutes per game on the road this year. The clash with Yves Missi ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching a massive 16.1 points per game this year. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 61.3% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has converted 45.8% of his three-point shots without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.0 minutes per game on the road this year. The clash with Yves Missi ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching a massive 16.1 points per game this year. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Javonte Green Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Green
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Javonte Green has made 62.5% of his shots from the field over the last 11 games, 18.1% more than he's made over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Javonte Green lands in the 87th percentile for three-point proficiency with a stellar 39.3% rate this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Javonte Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Javonte Green has made 62.5% of his shots from the field over the last 11 games, 18.1% more than he's made over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Javonte Green lands in the 87th percentile for three-point proficiency with a stellar 39.3% rate this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-124

DeMar DeRozan has sunk 10.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's made over the course of the year while on the road. DeMar DeRozan has made 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this season while on the road. DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

DeMar DeRozan has sunk 10.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's made over the course of the year while on the road. DeMar DeRozan has made 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this season while on the road. DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile. The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Karlo Matkovic Points Scored Props • New Orleans

K. Matkovic
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.33
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.33
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-135

Karlo Matkovic has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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