CLE -6.0 o213.5
MIA 6.0 u213.5
OKC -15.0 o223.0
MEM 15.0 u223.0
DEN 6.5 o212.0
LAC -6.5 u212.0
HOU 3.0 o204.0
GS -3.0 u204.0
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

New Orleans @ Dallas picks

American Airlines Center

NO vs DAL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
D. Exum o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -109 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 63 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -120
9.5 -110
9.5 -109
9.5 -121
9.5 -125
9.5 -109
10.5 -105
10.5 -125
9.5 -118
9.5 -108

Among all players in the NBA, Dante Exum slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 43.8% rate since the start of last season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the league). Dante Exum stands to see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Total Assists
T. Murphy u4.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +120 bet365
Projection updated: 63 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -150
4.5 +120
4.5 -105
4.5 -125
4.5 -104
4.5 -129
4.5 +116
4.5 -161
4.5 +120
4.5 -154
4.5 +126
4.5 -162

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Trey Murphy III should experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Points Scored
J. Alvarado o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 64 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -121
10.5 -110
9.5 -120
9.5 -114
9.5 -110
9.5 -120
10.5 -104
10.5 -122

Jose Alvarado has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Points Scored
Y. Missi o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 64 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
6.5 -120
6.5 -112
6.5 -133
6.5 -103
6.5 -105
6.5 -125
6.5 -111
6.5 -115

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Points Scored
Z. Williamson u24.5 Points Scored
Projection 21.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u24.5 -117 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 63 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
23.5 -125
23.5 -105
24.5 -114
24.5 -117
23.5 -128
23.5 -106
23.5 -125
23.5 -105
23.5 -120
23.5 -106

Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 106.3 points per game without the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8). The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA).

Points Scored
N. Marshall o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -120 draftkings
Projection updated: 64 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -125
10.5 -105
10.5 -137
10.5 +100
10.5 -120
10.5 -110
10.5 -125
10.5 -102

Naji Marshall has converted 62.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court. Naji Marshall has successfully made 58.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 31.0% more than he's made from three in all games this season when playing at home. Naji Marshall has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Total Rebounds
P. Washington o8.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 10.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -135 betmgm
Projection updated: 63 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -135
8.5 +100
8.5 -148
8.5 +112
8.5 -161
8.5 +116
9.5 +105
9.5 -135
9.5 +108
9.5 -138

P.J. Washington has averaged 7.9 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. P.J. Washington will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance across the board.

Total Rebounds
K. Olynyk u5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 -155 betmgm
Projection updated: 63 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 +115
5.5 -155
5.5 +120
5.5 -167
4.5 +100
4.5 -130
4.5 -142
4.5 +112

Kelly Olynyk has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Kelly Olynyk will likely see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

NO vs DAL Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Spread

72% picking Dallas

28%
72%

Total Picks NO 171, DAL 440

Spread
NO
DAL

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