MIL -6.0 o230.0
WAS 6.0 u230.0
MEM -3.5 o225.5
ORL 3.5 u225.5
NY 8.5 o241.5
CLE -8.5 u241.5
MIA -3.0 o219.0
TOR 3.0 u219.0
DET -4.0 o235.5
SA 4.0 u235.5
NO 5.5 o237.0
DAL -5.5 u237.0
OKC -15.5 o234.5
UTA 15.5 u234.5
MIN 3.0 o220.0
HOU -3.0 u220.0
GS -2.0 o236.0
SAC 2.0 u236.0
New Orleans 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE13-42
Dallas 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE30-26

New Orleans @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Dante Exum slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 43.8% rate since the start of last season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the league). Dante Exum stands to see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dante Exum

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Among all players in the NBA, Dante Exum slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 43.8% rate since the start of last season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the league). Dante Exum stands to see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against P.J. Washington has been remarkably high this year (4.1 free throw attempts per game when they are on the road: 97th percentile).

Yves Missi

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against P.J. Washington has been remarkably high this year (4.1 free throw attempts per game when they are on the road: 97th percentile).

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 106.3 points per game without the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA). Zion Williamson is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 106.3 points per game without the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA). Zion Williamson is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Jose Alvarado has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has tallied 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season. P.J. Washington has converted 49.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Yves Missi is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Missi is on the visiting team opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 63.9% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile). The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

P.J. Washington has tallied 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season. P.J. Washington has converted 49.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Yves Missi is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Missi is on the visiting team opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 63.9% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile). The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-125

In comparison to last year's 16.0 clip, CJ McCollum's shots taken have increased this year to 18.5 per game. CJ McCollum has made 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

In comparison to last year's 16.0 clip, CJ McCollum's shots taken have increased this year to 18.5 per game. CJ McCollum has made 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 106.3 points per game without the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8). The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Trey Murphy III should experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 106.3 points per game without the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8). The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Trey Murphy III should experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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