Final Mar 29
SAC 91 1.5 o213.0
ORL 121 -1.5 u213.0
Final Mar 29
BK 115 2.0 o223.0
WAS 112 -2.0 u223.0
Final Mar 29
MIA 118 -8.0 o215.0
PHI 95 8.0 u215.0
Final Mar 29
BOS 121 -12.5 o231.0
SA 111 12.5 u231.0
Final Mar 29
DAL 120 3.0 o239.0
CHI 119 -3.0 u239.0
Final Mar 29
IND 111 8.0 o234.0
OKC 132 -8.0 u234.0
Final Mar 29
LAL 134 1.0 o237.5
MEM 127 -1.0 u237.5
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE20-54
Dallas 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE37-38

New Orleans @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Dante Exum slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 43.8% rate since the start of last season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the league). Dante Exum stands to see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dante Exum

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Among all players in the NBA, Dante Exum slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 43.8% rate since the start of last season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the league). Dante Exum stands to see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Jose Alvarado has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Yves Missi

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-117
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-117
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 106.3 points per game without the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8). The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 106.3 points per game without the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8). The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA).

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has converted 62.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court. Naji Marshall has successfully made 58.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 31.0% more than he's made from three in all games this season when playing at home. Naji Marshall has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Naji Marshall has converted 62.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court. Naji Marshall has successfully made 58.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 31.0% more than he's made from three in all games this season when playing at home. Naji Marshall has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has tallied 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season. P.J. Washington has converted 49.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

P.J. Washington has tallied 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season. P.J. Washington has converted 49.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Under
-118

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-110

In comparison to last year's 16.0 clip, CJ McCollum's shots taken have increased this year to 18.5 per game. CJ McCollum has made 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

In comparison to last year's 16.0 clip, CJ McCollum's shots taken have increased this year to 18.5 per game. CJ McCollum has made 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has made 48.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 12.2% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Trey Murphy III has sunk 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Trey Murphy III has made 48.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 12.2% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road. Trey Murphy III has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Trey Murphy III has sunk 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Kelly Olynyk Points Scored Props • New Orleans

K. Olynyk
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Kelly Olynyk registers in the 84th percentile for field goal performance while on the road with a superb 53.3% rate this year. Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 50.5% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year away from his home court. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kelly Olynyk

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Among all players in the league, Kelly Olynyk registers in the 84th percentile for field goal performance while on the road with a superb 53.3% rate this year. Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 50.5% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year away from his home court. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Max Christie Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Max Christie has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Max Christie has made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Max Christie

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Max Christie has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's outstanding 120.0 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Max Christie has made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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