LIVE 07:42 4th Apr 27
LAL 99 2.5 o209.0
MIN 95 -2.5 u209.0
BOS -7.5 o199.5
ORL 7.5 u199.5
IND 3.5 o227.0
MIL -3.5 u227.0
Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Atlanta @ Miami picks

Kaseya Center

ATL vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks
Total Assists
C. LeVert o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 4 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -110 bet365
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -110
2.5 -120
2.5 -150
2.5 +110
2.5 -130
2.5 -103
2.5 -147
2.5 +108
2.5 -135
2.5 +105
2.5 -162
2.5 +126

Caris LeVert has put up 3.7 assists per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard. Caris LeVert has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Hawks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
D. Mitchell o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 +100 betmgm
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 +100
7.5 -135
7.5 -110
7.5 -121
7.5 -114
7.5 -120
7.5 -115
7.5 -115
7.5 -108
7.5 -118

Davion Mitchell has sunk 53.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 11.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has sunk 49.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged in all games this year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 5th-most threes per game in the league this year (2.8).

Points Scored
A. Wiggins o19.5 Points Scored
Projection 22.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -108 fanduel
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -115
19.5 -115
19.5 -109
19.5 -122
19.5 -118
19.5 -118
19.5 -120
19.5 -110
19.5 -108
19.5 -118

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Andrew Wiggins has converted a whopping 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.3 mark last year. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on field goal attempts (best in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, creating a favorable matchup.

Total Assists
D. Mitchell o4.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +100 fanduel
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 -120
4.5 -110
4.5 -122
4.5 -109
4.5 -118
4.5 -118
4.5 -120
4.5 -110
4.5 +100
4.5 -128

Davion Mitchell has compiled a whopping 4.4 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.9 assists per game last year. Davion Mitchell has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Heat. Davion Mitchell will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production for all stats.

Total Assists
O. Okongwu u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 +125 bet365
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -155
2.5 +125
2.5 -130
2.5 -105
2.5 -141
2.5 +106
2.5 -120
2.5 -114
2.5 -110
2.5 -120
2.5 -120
2.5 -106

Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (83rd percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Hawks. Onyeka Okongwu will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce stat production across the board.

Total Rebounds
K. Anderson o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -150 betmgm
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -150
3.5 +110
3.5 -167
3.5 +120
4.5 +110
4.5 -140

Kyle Anderson has compiled 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's compiled in all games this season. The Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Heat. Kyle Anderson will likely see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Assists
T. Herro u6.5 Total Assists
Projection 6.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 +115 bet365
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -145
6.5 +115
6.5 -135
6.5 +100
6.5 -139
6.5 +105
6.5 -120
6.5 -114
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -113
6.5 -113

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
K. Ware o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -128 fanduel
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -108
11.5 -122
11.5 -103
11.5 -133
11.5 -115
11.5 -115
10.5 -128
10.5 +100

Kel'el Ware has converted 60.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year playing at home. Kel'el Ware has attempted 4.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Kel'el Ware has tallied 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 12.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu comes in at just the 79th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs burying an enormous 58.5% of their shots from the field this year.

Total Assists
K. Anderson o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -145 bet365
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -145
2.5 +115
2.5 -150
2.5 +115
2.5 -147
2.5 +108
2.5 -178
2.5 +138

Kyle Anderson has tallied 2.5 assists per game at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard. The Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Heat. Kyle Anderson will likely see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Rebounds
M. Gueye o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +130 draftkings
Projection updated: 60 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +125
3.5 -165
3.5 +120
3.5 -167
3.5 +130
3.5 -166
3.5 +116
3.5 -148

Mouhamed Gueye has totaled 1.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year on the road. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Hawks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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