Final Apr 3
ORL 109 -15.0 o213.0
WAS 97 15.0 u213.0
Final Apr 3
MIL 126 -11.5 o228.0
PHI 113 11.5 u228.0
Final Apr 3
POR 112 -5.0 o223.5
TOR 103 5.0 u223.5
Final Apr 3
MIN 105 -14.0 o218.0
BK 90 14.0 u218.0
Final Apr 3
MEM 110 -5.5 o226.5
MIA 108 5.5 u226.5
Final Apr 3
GS 123 1.0 o230.0
LAL 116 -1.0 u230.0
Denver 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE47-30
Detroit 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE42-34

Denver @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zeke Nnaji Points Scored Props • Denver

Z. Nnaji
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Zeke Nnaji lands in the 15th percentile for playing time, registering only 9.0 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Pistons, identifying this as a tough matchup. Zeke Nnaji has successfully made just 56.3% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 64.9 rate last season. Zeke Nnaji will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production for all stats.

Zeke Nnaji

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Among all players in the NBA, Zeke Nnaji lands in the 15th percentile for playing time, registering only 9.0 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Pistons, identifying this as a tough matchup. Zeke Nnaji has successfully made just 56.3% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 64.9 rate last season. Zeke Nnaji will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production for all stats.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has sunk 51.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 22.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season on the road.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Aaron Gordon has sunk 51.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 22.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season on the road.

Tim Hardaway Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Hardaway
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has converted 2.1 threes per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 28.5 minutes per game this year. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Tim Hardaway

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Tim Hardaway Jr. has converted 2.1 threes per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 28.5 minutes per game this year. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to 3-point shots. The matchup against Denver is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to 3-point shots. The matchup against Denver is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jalen Duren has sunk 6.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's made overall this season. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jalen Duren has converted 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while on his home court.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jalen Duren has sunk 6.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's made overall this season. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jalen Duren has converted 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while on his home court.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has sunk 5.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has tallied 36.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Jamal Murray has sunk 5.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has tallied 36.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Malik Beasley has sunk 52.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. In comparison to last season's 2.8 clip, Malik Beasley's three-pointers drained have spiked this season to 4.0 per game. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Malik Beasley has sunk 52.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. In comparison to last season's 2.8 clip, Malik Beasley's three-pointers drained have spiked this season to 4.0 per game. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Ausar Thompson has sunk 0.3 3-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to 3-point shots. The matchup against Denver is a tough one for threes; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.1).

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Ausar Thompson has sunk 0.3 3-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to 3-point shots. The matchup against Denver is a tough one for threes; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.1).

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 88th percentile for field goals made when playing away from home, logging a whopping 6.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Detroit is a favorable one; when the Detroit Pistons have the home court advantage, they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Michael Porter

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 88th percentile for field goals made when playing away from home, logging a whopping 6.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Detroit is a favorable one; when the Detroit Pistons have the home court advantage, they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has converted 55.9% of his shots from the field while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Christian Braun has sunk 37.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% higher than he's converted overall this year away from his home court. Christian Braun has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Christian Braun has converted 55.9% of his shots from the field while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Christian Braun has sunk 37.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% higher than he's converted overall this year away from his home court. Christian Braun has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Harris
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to 3-point shots. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to 3-point shots. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 68.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home. Nikola Jokic has successfully made an impressive 48.1% of his three-point shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 39.3 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 36.1 minutes per game this year. The showdown with Jalen Duren ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs draining a whopping 1.1 threes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.8

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 68.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home. Nikola Jokic has successfully made an impressive 48.1% of his three-point shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 39.3 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 36.1 minutes per game this year. The showdown with Jalen Duren ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs draining a whopping 1.1 threes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Julian Strawther has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season while playing on the road. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Julian Strawther

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Julian Strawther has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season while playing on the road. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has made 4.8 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Russell Westbrook has made 4.8 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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