CLE -8.5 o211.5
MIA 8.5 u211.5
HOU 4.0 o203.0
GS -4.0 u203.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30

Sacramento @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-114

Keon Ellis has successfully made 59.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 15.3% more than he's converted in all games this season. Keon Ellis has played 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Keon Ellis has successfully made 59.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 15.3% more than he's converted in all games this season. Keon Ellis has played 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-108

Tari Eason has made 54.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Tari Eason has successfully made 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Tari Eason has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played overall this season. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Tari Eason

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Tari Eason has made 54.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Tari Eason has successfully made 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Tari Eason has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played overall this season. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Under
-125

The Rockets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Amen Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

The Rockets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-104

Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.1 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Dillon Brooks has tallied 31.2 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Kings, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.1 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Dillon Brooks has tallied 31.2 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Kings, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Fred VanVleet has made 3.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Fred VanVleet has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Fred VanVleet has made 3.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Fred VanVleet has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Alperen Sengun has averaged 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a good one; he has allowed a massive 15.3 points per game away from home when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Alperen Sengun has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Alperen Sengun has averaged 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a good one; he has allowed a massive 15.3 points per game away from home when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Alperen Sengun has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-145

The Rockets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Jalen Green

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

The Rockets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Zach LaVine has made 8.6 buckets per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. In comparison to last season's 32.3% rate, Zach LaVine's three-point prowess has risen this season to 41.1%. Among all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Zach LaVine has made 8.6 buckets per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. In comparison to last season's 32.3% rate, Zach LaVine's three-point prowess has risen this season to 41.1%. Among all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Domantas Sabonis has made 60.3% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has made 44.2% of his three-point attempts while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Domantas Sabonis has made 60.3% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has made 44.2% of his three-point attempts while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-111

Malik Monk has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Malik Monk has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Malik Monk has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Malik Monk has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Malik Monk has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Malik Monk has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 77th percentile for shots, logging 10.8 per game this year. Keegan Murray has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Keegan Murray has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 77th percentile for shots, logging 10.8 per game this year. Keegan Murray has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Keegan Murray has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 8.1 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 49.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. DeMar DeRozan has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 8.1 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 49.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. DeMar DeRozan has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jake LaRavia Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. LaRavia
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-135
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.94
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-135

Jake LaRavia has gone over 3.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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