NY -1.0 o214.5
DET 1.0 u214.5
OKC -9.5 o227.0
MEM 9.5 u227.0
DEN 5.5 o213.0
LAC -5.5 u213.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE61-21

Denver @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zeke Nnaji Points Scored Props • Denver

Z. Nnaji
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Zeke Nnaji lands in the 16th percentile for playing time, totaling just 9.3 minutes per game this year. Zeke Nnaji has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.6 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have notched 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

Zeke Nnaji

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.7

Out of all players in the league, Zeke Nnaji lands in the 16th percentile for playing time, totaling just 9.3 minutes per game this year. Zeke Nnaji has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.6 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have notched 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has made 55.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 14.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. In contrast to last season's 90.9% mark, Sam Hauser's foul-shot performance has risen this season to 100.0%. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Sam Hauser has made 55.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 14.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. In contrast to last season's 90.9% mark, Sam Hauser's foul-shot performance has risen this season to 100.0%. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-130

Russell Westbrook has failed to make 7.2 shot attempts from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's missed in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets. Russell Westbrook has attempted and missed 1.1 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.7 rate last season.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Russell Westbrook has failed to make 7.2 shot attempts from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's missed in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets. Russell Westbrook has attempted and missed 1.1 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.7 rate last season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Aaron Gordon has sunk 51.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's made from three in all games this season. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 22.6% more than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Celtics have the home court advantage (8th-most in the NBA).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Aaron Gordon has sunk 51.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's made from three in all games this season. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 22.6% more than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Celtics have the home court advantage (8th-most in the NBA).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
+100

Christian Braun has converted 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's made overall this year without the home court advantage. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Christian Braun has converted 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's made overall this year without the home court advantage. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Luke Kornet is a hard one; he has allowed a mere 11.6 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets. The matchup against Luke Kornet is a tough one for drawing fouls; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game (7th percentile). Nikola Jokic figures to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Luke Kornet is a hard one; he has allowed a mere 11.6 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets. The matchup against Luke Kornet is a tough one for drawing fouls; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game (7th percentile). Nikola Jokic figures to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 8.6 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.3 minutes per game this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Michael Porter

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 8.6 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.3 minutes per game this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown measures in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games with just 18.3 foul shot attempts per game.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown measures in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games with just 18.3 foul shot attempts per game.

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 29.9% mark, Julian Strawther's shooting performance has surged this year to 42.3%. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Julian Strawther has successfully made an impressive 81.6% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant increase from his 60.0 rate last season.

Julian Strawther

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Compared to last year's 29.9% mark, Julian Strawther's shooting performance has surged this year to 42.3%. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Julian Strawther has successfully made an impressive 81.6% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant increase from his 60.0 rate last season.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

In contrast to last year's 7.1 clip, Derrick White's 3-point attempts have risen this year to 8.8 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Derrick White has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing at home.

Derrick White

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

In contrast to last year's 7.1 clip, Derrick White's 3-point attempts have risen this year to 8.8 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Derrick White has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing at home.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

In comparison to last season's 1.7 rate, Payton Pritchard's 3-point shots hit have surged this season to 3.2 per game. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Payton Pritchard stands to see an increase in efficiency for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

In comparison to last season's 1.7 rate, Payton Pritchard's 3-point shots hit have surged this season to 3.2 per game. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Payton Pritchard stands to see an increase in efficiency for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jamal Murray has made 9.7 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 4.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 36.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most threes per game in the league this year (3.0). The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Jamal Murray has made 9.7 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 4.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 36.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most threes per game in the league this year (3.0). The 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-121

Al Horford has successfully made 57.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 14.5% more than he's made from three over the course of the season while at home. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Al Horford will likely see a rise in performance in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Al Horford has successfully made 57.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 14.5% more than he's made from three over the course of the season while at home. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Al Horford will likely see a rise in performance in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Luke Kornet Points Scored Props • Boston

L. Kornet
center C • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Luke Kornet has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 27.1% more than he's made overall this year. Luke Kornet will likely see an increase in output in all facets of the game considering possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Luke Kornet

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Luke Kornet has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 27.1% more than he's made overall this year. Luke Kornet will likely see an increase in output in all facets of the game considering possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum slots into the 98th percentile, compiling an enormous 25.9 points per game while at home this year. Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.1 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 8.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.5 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.6

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum slots into the 98th percentile, compiling an enormous 25.9 points per game while at home this year. Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.1 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 8.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.5 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 10th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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