BOS -5.5 o200.0
ORL 5.5 u200.0
IND 5.0 o229.0
MIL -5.0 u229.0
LAL 3.5 o208.0
MIN -3.5 u208.0
Washington 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE18-64
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Washington @ Miami picks

Kaseya Center

WAS vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Love u8.5 Points Scored
Projection 5.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -132 fanduel
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -143
7.5 +104
7.5 -125
7.5 -105
8.5 +104
8.5 -132

Kevin Love has made 32.8% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league. Kevin Love has played 10.9 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 18th percentile. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Total Rebounds
K. Love u6.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -146 fanduel
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -128
5.5 -106
5.5 -125
5.5 -105
6.5 +114
6.5 -146

Kevin Love has compiled a lowly 3.2 defensive rebounds per game this year, significantly lower than his 4.8 defensive rebounds per game last year. Kevin Love has played 10.9 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 18th percentile. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Points Scored
H. Highsmith o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -125 draftkings
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -112
8.5 -120
6.5 -125
6.5 -109
6.5 -125
6.5 -105
6.5 -125
6.5 -102

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 69.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 25.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. Haywood Highsmith has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 44.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing at home. Haywood Highsmith stands to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
T. Rozier u14.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
14.5 -120
14.5 -114
14.5 -111
14.5 -115

Terry Rozier has attempted a lowly 10.7 shots from the field per game this year, significantly lower than his 16.4 rate last year. In comparison to last year's 6.7 mark, Terry Rozier's three-point attempts have decreased this year to 5.0 per game. In comparison to last year's 33.5 mark, Terry Rozier's playing time has regressed this year to 27.3 minutes per game. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat.

Total Assists
K. Love u1.5 Total Assists
Projection 1 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -110 bet365
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -120
1.5 -110

Kevin Love has totaled a measly 1.0 assists per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 1.9 assists per game last year. Kevin Love has played 10.9 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 18th percentile. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Total Assists
D. Mitchell o4.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 -120
4.5 -110
4.5 -143
4.5 +108
4.5 -133
4.5 -103
4.5 -135
4.5 +105
4.5 -132
4.5 +104

Davion Mitchell has put up 5.4 assists per game while at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league leaders in this category. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. Davion Mitchell will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boost player production for all stats.

Points Scored
D. Robinson o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -106 fanduel
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -125
12.5 -110
12.5 -107
12.5 -124
12.5 -133
12.5 -103
12.5 -130
12.5 +100
12.5 -106
12.5 -120

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.5 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season at home. Duncan Robinson has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 16.9 points per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, creating a good matchup for offensive productivity. Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 9.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

3-Pointers Made
K. Love u1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -140 bet365
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +110
1.5 -140
1.5 +112
1.5 -154
1.5 +114
1.5 -145

Kevin Love has played 10.9 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 18th percentile. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, creating a tough matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

3-Pointers Made
H. Highsmith o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +165 bet365
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +165
1.5 -210

Haywood Highsmith has converted 42.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 12.0% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while on his home court. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. Haywood Highsmith stands to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Total Assists
T. Herro u7.5 Total Assists
Projection 6.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u7.5 -140 bet365
Projection updated: 53 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 +110
7.5 -140
7.5 +130
7.5 -175
6.5 -143
6.5 +107
6.5 -137
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
6.5 +100
6.5 -125
6.5 -102

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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