LIVE 05:17 2nd Apr 27
LAL 48 2.5 o209.0
MIN 41 -2.5 u209.0
BOS -7.5 o199.5
ORL 7.5 u199.5
IND 3.5 o227.0
MIL -3.5 u227.0
Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Cleveland 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18

Miami @ Cleveland props

Rocket Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 42.4% mark, Kevin Love's field goal proficiency has declined this season to 32.3%. Kevin Love has averaged a lowly 11.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 15.9 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (44.1%). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Kevin Love

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

In comparison to last season's 42.4% mark, Kevin Love's field goal proficiency has declined this season to 32.3%. Kevin Love has averaged a lowly 11.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 15.9 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (44.1%). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has sunk 66.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 29.2% more than he's made over the course of the year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Kyle Anderson has sunk 66.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 29.2% more than he's made over the course of the year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-125

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro should suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro should suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

In contrast to last season's 35.8 clip, Donovan Mitchell's playing time has declined this season to 31.1 minutes per game. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

In contrast to last season's 35.8 clip, Donovan Mitchell's playing time has declined this season to 31.1 minutes per game. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-113

Davion Mitchell has made 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 13.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court. Davion Mitchell has converted 52.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.6% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a positive matchup.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Davion Mitchell has made 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 13.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court. Davion Mitchell has converted 52.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.6% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a positive matchup.

Ty Jerome Points Scored Props • Cleveland

T. Jerome
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Ty Jerome

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-110

Alec Burks has sunk just 2.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.3 rate last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, marking this as a tough matchup. The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Alec Burks figures to experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Alec Burks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Alec Burks has sunk just 2.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.3 rate last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, marking this as a tough matchup. The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Alec Burks figures to experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-137

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen registers in the 97th percentile for field goal proficiency with the home court advantage with a stellar 70.2% rate this year. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a good one for three-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 42.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year. Jarrett Allen has attempted 3.2 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen registers in the 97th percentile for field goal proficiency with the home court advantage with a stellar 70.2% rate this year. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a good one for three-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 42.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year. Jarrett Allen has attempted 3.2 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-102

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Duncan Robinson figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Duncan Robinson figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-130

Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. The rate of shots hit against Jarrett Allen has been very low (50.2%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Bam Adebayo stands to experience a decrease in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. The rate of shots hit against Jarrett Allen has been very low (50.2%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Bam Adebayo stands to experience a decrease in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Darius Garland has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Darius Garland measures in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers converted, totaling 3.0 per game this year. Darius Garland has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Darius Garland

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Darius Garland has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Darius Garland measures in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers converted, totaling 3.0 per game this year. Darius Garland has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Max Strus has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Max Strus

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Max Strus has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
power forward PF • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-140

Evan Mobley has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Evan Mobley has converted 47.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Evan Mobley has played 30.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Heat, creating a good matchup.

Evan Mobley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Evan Mobley has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Evan Mobley has converted 47.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Evan Mobley has played 30.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Heat, creating a good matchup.

Dean Wade Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Wade
power forward PF • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.16
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
5.16
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140

Dean Wade has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Isaac Okoro Points Scored Props • Cleveland

I. Okoro
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.02
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-110
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.02
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-110

Isaac Okoro has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic