Philadelphia @ Boston picks
TD Garden
PHI vs BOS Picks
NBA PicksAndre Drummond has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Andre Drummond figures to see a decline in productivity across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.
Jaylen Brown has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Boston Celtics have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against the 76ers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (11.3). The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 76ers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Celtics.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Quentin Grimes is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this contest.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 76ers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Celtics.
Luke Kornet has sunk 67.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 8.4% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup vs. the 76ers is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (40.8%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 4th-best in in the league when playing at home with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.5 foul shots per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line. Luke Kornet should see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.
Jayson Tatum has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season at home. The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 76ers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Celtics.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 1.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 86th percentile. Out of all players in the league, Kelly Oubre Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
Paul George has tallied 30.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a favorable matchup. With respect to getting to the foul line, the 76ers's terrific 23.4 free throws per game away from their home court measures as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.
PHI vs BOS Consensus Picks
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62% picking Boston
Total Picks PHI 215, BOS 344
67% picking Philadelphia vs Boston to go Over
Total PicksPHI 278, BOS 134