CLE -6.0 o213.5
MIA 6.0 u213.5
OKC -15.0 o222.5
MEM 15.0 u222.5
DEN 6.5 o212.5
LAC -6.5 u212.5
HOU 3.0 o204.0
GS -3.0 u204.0
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42

San Antonio @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-102

Keon Ellis has sunk 60.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% more than he's sunk overall this season when playing at home. Keon Ellis has tallied 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have shot 48.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a good matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Keon Ellis has sunk 60.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% more than he's sunk overall this season when playing at home. Keon Ellis has tallied 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have shot 48.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a good matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

In regard to 3-pointers, the Kings's feeble 12.5 converted threes per game measures as the 7th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 8.6 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive production. The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting SFs against Devin Vassell has been very low this year (2.0 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

In regard to 3-pointers, the Kings's feeble 12.5 converted threes per game measures as the 7th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 8.6 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive production. The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting SFs against Devin Vassell has been very low this year (2.0 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • San Antonio

B. Biyombo
center C • San Antonio
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Bismack Biyombo has successfully made a terrific 64.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit more than his 56.3 mark last year. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup with Jonas Valanciunas rates in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs putting up a massive 16.5 points per game this year. The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Bismack Biyombo has successfully made a terrific 64.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit more than his 56.3 mark last year. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup with Jonas Valanciunas rates in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs putting up a massive 16.5 points per game this year. The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Jake LaRavia Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. LaRavia
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jake LaRavia ranks in the 90th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an outstanding 40.4% rate this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. Jake LaRavia ought to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Jake LaRavia

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Among all players in the league, Jake LaRavia ranks in the 90th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an outstanding 40.4% rate this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. Jake LaRavia ought to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-122

Chris Paul has sunk 60.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's converted overall this season. Chris Paul has tallied 28.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. Chris Paul has successfully made a whopping 89.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly higher than his 75.1 rate last year.

Chris Paul

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Chris Paul has sunk 60.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's converted overall this season. Chris Paul has tallied 28.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. Chris Paul has successfully made a whopping 89.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly higher than his 75.1 rate last year.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Over
+100

Zach LaVine has sunk 58.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Zach LaVine has converted 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on field goals (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Spurs, branding this as a favorable matchup.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

Zach LaVine has sunk 58.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Zach LaVine has converted 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on field goals (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Spurs, branding this as a favorable matchup.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Fox
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

De'Aaron Fox has attempted a measly 18.9 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit less than his 21.1 rate last year. Compared to last year's 8.0 rate, De'Aaron Fox's 3-point attempts have dropped this year to 6.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox ranks in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Spurs. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the league with just 10.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

De'Aaron Fox has attempted a measly 18.9 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit less than his 21.1 rate last year. Compared to last year's 8.0 rate, De'Aaron Fox's 3-point attempts have dropped this year to 6.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox ranks in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Spurs. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the league with just 10.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

Harrison Barnes has converted 40.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's made overall this year on the road. Harrison Barnes has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes measures in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 0.9 fouls per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a strong matchup.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Harrison Barnes has converted 40.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's made overall this year on the road. Harrison Barnes has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes measures in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 0.9 fouls per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a strong matchup.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Keegan Murray has made 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. San Antonio may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 24 games when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting squad (4th-most in the NBA).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Keegan Murray has made 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. San Antonio may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 24 games when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting squad (4th-most in the NBA).

Jonas Valančiūnas Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. Valančiūnas
center C • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jonas Valanciunas has made 58.0% of his shot attempts from the field at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against Bismack Biyombo is a favorable one; he has allowed a monstrous 19.2 points per game when playing away from home when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. Bismack Biyombo is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when Biyombo is away from his home court other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 5.8 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

Jonas Valančiūnas

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Jonas Valanciunas has made 58.0% of his shot attempts from the field at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against Bismack Biyombo is a favorable one; he has allowed a monstrous 19.2 points per game when playing away from home when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should raise opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. Bismack Biyombo is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when Biyombo is away from his home court other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 5.8 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Devin Vassell has successfully made 8.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Devin Vassell has tallied 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 81st percentile. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Kings are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Devin Vassell

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Devin Vassell has successfully made 8.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Devin Vassell has tallied 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 81st percentile. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Kings are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Stephon Castle Points Scored Props • San Antonio

S. Castle
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

Stephon Castle has made 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's converted in all games this year. Stephon Castle has attempted 6.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. Stephon Castle has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Stephon Castle

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Stephon Castle has made 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's converted in all games this year. Stephon Castle has attempted 6.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. Stephon Castle has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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