LIVE 04:51 4th Apr 26
HOU 84 1.5 o205.0
GS 87 -1.5 u205.0
Final Apr 26
CLE 124 -5.0 o212.0
MIA 87 5.0 u212.0
Final Apr 26
OKC 117 -15.0 o224.0
MEM 115 15.0 u224.0
Final Apr 26
DEN 101 6.5 o211.5
LAC 99 -6.5 u211.5
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE61-21

Los Angeles @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Finney-Smith
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
+102

Dorian Finney-Smith has sunk 1.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dorian Finney-Smith has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 30.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year away from his home court. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Dorian Finney-Smith has sunk 1.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dorian Finney-Smith has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 30.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year away from his home court. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jayson Tatum has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year at home. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Jayson Tatum has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year at home. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Lakers rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Lakers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Lakers. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to draw fouls. LeBron James should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

LeBron James

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

The Lakers rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Lakers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Lakers. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to draw fouls. LeBron James should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Vanderbilt
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Jarred Vanderbilt has converted 53.2% of his field goals over the last 13 games on the road, 10.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing on the road. Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 66.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this season without the home court advantage. The faceoff with Al Horford ranks in the 93rd percentile with the other side's starting Cs burying a colossal 43.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year when they are on the road. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jarred Vanderbilt

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Jarred Vanderbilt has converted 53.2% of his field goals over the last 13 games on the road, 10.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing on the road. Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 66.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this season without the home court advantage. The faceoff with Al Horford ranks in the 93rd percentile with the other side's starting Cs burying a colossal 43.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year when they are on the road. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Under
-103

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied 5.3 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Lakers, branding this as a tough matchup. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game.

Derrick White

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied 5.3 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Lakers, branding this as a tough matchup. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-135

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 79th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 5.0 per game this year. Jrue Holiday has tallied 30.3 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Jrue Holiday stands to see an increase in production across the board on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 79th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 5.0 per game this year. Jrue Holiday has tallied 30.3 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Jrue Holiday stands to see an increase in production across the board on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The clash with Jarred Vanderbilt comes in at the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs averaging a mere 9.9 points per game this year. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

The clash with Jarred Vanderbilt comes in at the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs averaging a mere 9.9 points per game this year. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-130

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game at home this year. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game. Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game at home this year. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 18.0 foul shots per game. Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Jaxson Hayes Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Hayes
center C • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-103

Jaxson Hayes has been on the court for 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jaxson Hayes

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Jaxson Hayes has been on the court for 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Payton Pritchard has sunk 4.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted in all games this season. The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Payton Pritchard is expected to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Payton Pritchard has sunk 4.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted in all games this season. The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Payton Pritchard is expected to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-113

Austin Reaves has notched 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.1 higher than he's notched in all games this season on the road. Austin Reaves has attempted 7.0 treys per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Austin Reaves has notched 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.1 higher than he's notched in all games this season on the road. Austin Reaves has attempted 7.0 treys per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kristaps Porziņģis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porziņģis
center C • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Kristaps Porzingis has made 57.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.2% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court. Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 2.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 29.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 4.4 free throws per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Kristaps Porziņģis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Kristaps Porzingis has made 57.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.2% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court. Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 2.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 29.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 4.4 free throws per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. Dončić
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.5 treys per game away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 3-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Luka Doncic has attempted 11.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Luka Dončić

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.8

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.5 treys per game away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 3-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Luka Doncic has attempted 11.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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