LIVE 03:05 4th Apr 26
HOU 86 1.5 o205.0
GS 95 -1.5 u205.0
Final Apr 26
CLE 124 -5.0 o212.0
MIA 87 5.0 u212.0
Final Apr 26
OKC 117 -15.0 o224.0
MEM 115 15.0 u224.0
Final Apr 26
DEN 101 6.5 o211.5
LAC 99 -6.5 u211.5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE68-14

Denver @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-120

Luguentz Dort has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Nuggets is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Luguentz Dort has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Nuggets is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 88th percentile for shots drained on the road, tallying a monstrous 6.8 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 89th percentile for 3-point shots sunk when playing on the road, putting up 2.2 per game this year. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 88th percentile for shots drained on the road, tallying a monstrous 6.8 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 89th percentile for 3-point shots sunk when playing on the road, putting up 2.2 per game this year. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren lands in the 77th percentile, registering a colossal 14.3 points per game while playing at home this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a good matchup. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren lands in the 77th percentile, registering a colossal 14.3 points per game while playing at home this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a good matchup. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
33.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 100th percentile, averaging a monstrous 32.6 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 48.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 9.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33.1
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33.1

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 100th percentile, averaging a monstrous 32.6 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 48.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 9.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Russell Westbrook has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Russell Westbrook has sunk 1.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Russell Westbrook has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Russell Westbrook has sunk 1.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jamal Murray has successfully made 9.7 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jamal Murray has sunk 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a positive matchup. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Jamal Murray has successfully made 9.7 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jamal Murray has sunk 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a positive matchup. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Compared to last year's 42.7% clip, Christian Braun's scoring proficiency has jumped this year to 56.9%. Christian Braun has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a strong matchup. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Compared to last year's 42.7% clip, Christian Braun's scoring proficiency has jumped this year to 56.9%. Christian Braun has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a strong matchup. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

In contrast to last season's 14.2 clip, Jalen Williams's shots have increased this season to 17.1 per game. Jalen Williams has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

In contrast to last season's 14.2 clip, Jalen Williams's shots have increased this season to 17.1 per game. Jalen Williams has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-120

Aaron Wiggins has converted 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 29.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games while at home, 6.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Aaron Wiggins has converted 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 29.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games while at home, 6.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 1.1 mark, Nikola Jokic's 3-pointers hit have surged this year to 2.0 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.3 minutes per game this year. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

In contrast to last year's 1.1 mark, Nikola Jokic's 3-pointers hit have surged this year to 2.0 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.3 minutes per game this year. The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted an impressive 4.8 baskets per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 3.2 rate last season. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Isaiah Hartenstein ought to get a boost in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted an impressive 4.8 baskets per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 3.2 rate last season. The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the league on their home court with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Isaiah Hartenstein ought to get a boost in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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