CLE -6.0 o213.0
MIA 6.0 u213.0
OKC -15.0 o223.5
MEM 15.0 u223.5
DEN 6.5 o212.0
LAC -6.5 u212.0
HOU 3.0 o205.0
GS -3.0 u205.0
Charlotte 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE19-63
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Charlotte @ Atlanta picks

State Farm Arena

CHA vs ATL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
T. Young u27.5 Points Scored
Projection 23.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u27.5 -118 caesars
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
27.5 +105
27.5 -140
27.5 -106
27.5 -125
27.5 -118
27.5 -118
27.5 -110
27.5 -120
27.5 +100
27.5 -128

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks. The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.3). This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Points Scored
J. Green o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -110
6.5 -120
6.5 -136
6.5 +102
6.5 -133
6.5 -103
7.5 +100
7.5 -130
7.5 +106
7.5 -136

In comparison to last season's 24.1 clip, Josh Green's playing time has surged this season to 28.6 minutes per game. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Hornets have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Hornets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Points Scored
D. Jeffries o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -130 draftkings
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 +105
7.5 -140
6.5 -114
6.5 -120
5.5 -130
5.5 +100
6.5 -108
6.5 -118

DaQuan Jeffries has attempted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. DaQuan Jeffries has been on the court for 24.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The matchup against Atlanta is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 9th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (13.6). The Hornets have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Hornets.

3-Pointers Made
J. Green o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +175 bet365
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +175
1.5 -225
1.5 +170
1.5 -235
1.5 +152
1.5 -213
1.5 +150
1.5 -195
1.5 +150
1.5 -194

In comparison to last season's 24.1 clip, Josh Green's playing time has surged this season to 28.6 minutes per game. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Hornets have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Hornets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Points Scored
J. Nurkić o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 6.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +106 fanduel
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -105
5.5 -125
5.5 -106
5.5 -128
5.5 +106
5.5 -136

Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 52.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 7.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage. The Hornets have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Hornets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 2.7 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Points Scored
M. Bridges u25.5 Points Scored
Projection 23 (Under)
Best Odds
u25.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
25.5 -110
25.5 -120
24.5 -127
24.5 -105
24.5 -125
24.5 -109
24.5 -125
24.5 -105
24.5 -120
24.5 -106

When it comes to scoring, the Charlotte Hornets's subpar 101.8 points per game rates lowest in the league over the last 20 games. Miles Bridges will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
M. Gueye o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -130 fanduel
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 +100
7.5 -130
7.5 -103
7.5 -133
7.5 -105
7.5 -125
6.5 -130
6.5 +102

The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have shot for the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (55.8%). The most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-fastest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 87.5% of his foul shot attempts on his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.

Total Rebounds
M. Gueye o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -154 draftkings
Projection updated: 45 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -155
3.5 +115
3.5 -167
3.5 +120
3.5 -154
3.5 +120
4.5 +114
4.5 -146

Mouhamed Gueye has compiled 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games, 0.6 higher than he's compiled in all games this season. The most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-fastest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Mouhamed Gueye should see an increase in efficiency across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

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