Dallas @ San Antonio picks

Stephon Castle has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Chris Paul has made 77.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 38.0% more than he's converted from three overall this season. In regard to shooting, the Spurs's impressive 124.2 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production for all stats.

Compared to last year's 43.2% rate, Naji Marshall's 3-point ability has diminished this year to 25.5%. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a tough one; when the Spurs are on their home court, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production for all stats.

Relative to last year's 56.3% clip, Bismack Biyombo's field goal prowess has surged this year to 69.4%. In regard to shooting, the Spurs's impressive 124.2 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Bismack Biyombo figures to get a boost in production in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.