CLE -6.0 o213.0
MIA 6.0 u213.0
OKC -15.0 o223.5
MEM 15.0 u223.5
DEN 6.5 o212.0
LAC -6.5 u212.0
HOU 3.0 o205.0
GS -3.0 u205.0
LA 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-32
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

LA @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nicolas Batum Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Batum
power forward PF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Nicolas Batum has sunk 64.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 26.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. Nicolas Batum has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup. Nicolas Batum has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Nicolas Batum

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Nicolas Batum has sunk 64.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 26.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. Nicolas Batum has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup. Nicolas Batum has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers. The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the LA Clippers. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

James Harden

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers. The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the LA Clippers. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Davion Mitchell has converted 53.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has sunk 51.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for scoring; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.6%). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Davion Mitchell has converted 53.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has sunk 51.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for scoring; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.6%). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has converted 59.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% more than he's sunk overall this season when playing at home. Kel'el Ware has made 40.2% of his shots from downtown when playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA. Kel'el Ware has played 30.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 7.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been quite high (2.5 per game) when playing on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Kel'el Ware has converted 59.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% more than he's sunk overall this season when playing at home. Kel'el Ware has made 40.2% of his shots from downtown when playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA. Kel'el Ware has played 30.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 7.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been quite high (2.5 per game) when playing on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Under
-114

The matchup vs. the Clippers is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (27.2%). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

The matchup vs. the Clippers is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (27.2%). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Under
-150

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Clippers are away from home, opposing starting SFs have shot for the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (43.3%). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Clippers are away from home, opposing starting SFs have shot for the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (43.3%). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Over
-127

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 95th percentile for shots, putting up 18.1 per game this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.5 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 8.1 rate last year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Clippers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 95th percentile for shots, putting up 18.1 per game this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.5 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 8.1 rate last year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Clippers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-102

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson lands in the 80th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with an outstanding 37.8% rate this year. Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. Duncan Robinson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson lands in the 80th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with an outstanding 37.8% rate this year. Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. Duncan Robinson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Dunn
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+102

Kris Dunn has made 46.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home. Kris Dunn has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Kris Dunn has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 45.8% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Kris Dunn has made 46.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home. Kris Dunn has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Kris Dunn has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 45.8% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Derrick Jones Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

D. Jones
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+102

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 60.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.5% more than he's sunk overall this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has made 49.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Derrick Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 60.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.5% more than he's sunk overall this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has made 49.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-113

Ivica Zubac has sunk 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Ivica Zubac has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's played overall this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The number of threes converted against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (1.3 per game) when he is playing at home and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Ivica Zubac has sunk 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Ivica Zubac has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's played overall this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The number of threes converted against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (1.3 per game) when he is playing at home and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Bogdan Bogdanović Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

B. Bogdanović
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-136

Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing away from home. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The rate of three-pointers sunk against Andrew Wiggins has been very high (52.1%) when he is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile). Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Bogdan Bogdanović

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing away from home. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The rate of three-pointers sunk against Andrew Wiggins has been very high (52.1%) when he is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile). Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.65
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+102
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.65
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+102

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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