Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE61-21
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Boston @ Miami picks

Kaseya Center

BOS vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
J. Jaquez u8.5 Points Scored
Projection 4.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -130 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -118
7.5 -110
7.5 -125
7.5 -109
8.5 +102
8.5 -130

Relative to last year's 9.6 clip, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s shots have declined this year to 7.0 per game. In comparison to last year's 28.3 rate, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s playing time has been reduced this year to 21.4 minutes per game. The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Total Assists
J. Jaquez u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -115
2.5 -115
2.5 -120
2.5 -110
2.5 -120
2.5 -114

In comparison to last year's 28.3 rate, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s playing time has been reduced this year to 21.4 minutes per game. The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Points Scored
D. Mitchell o3.5 Points Scored
Projection 6.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 43 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -105
6.5 -125
6.5 +102
6.5 -136
6.5 -103
6.5 -133
3.5 -105
3.5 -125
4.5 -130
4.5 +102

Davion Mitchell has converted 51.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has successfully made 52.8% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Heat have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year in regard to threes. The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Davion Mitchell stands to get a boost in production for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Points Scored
K. Ware o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 9 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -120 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -108
7.5 -124
6.5 +104
6.5 -143
5.5 -135
5.5 +105
5.5 -120
5.5 -106

Out of all players in the league, Kel'el Ware rates in the 82nd percentile for shooting efficiency with a great 51.6% rate this year. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 40.2% of his treys while playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kel'el Ware has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 6.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The Heat have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year in regard to threes. Kel'el Ware ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Rebounds
K. Ware o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 7.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +116 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -155
6.5 +115
6.5 +108
6.5 -147
6.5 -105
6.5 -125
5.5 +116
5.5 -148

Kel'el Ware has tallied 9.7 rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 3.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year. Kel'el Ware has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 6.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. Kel'el Ware ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Assists
D. Mitchell o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 4 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +110 draftkings
Projection updated: 43 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -160
3.5 +130
3.5 -160
3.5 +120
3.5 -143
3.5 +108
3.5 -167
3.5 +120
2.5 +110
2.5 -140
3.5 +130
3.5 -166

Davion Mitchell has compiled 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's compiled in all games this season. Davion Mitchell stands to get a boost in production for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

3-Pointers Made
D. Mitchell o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +150 draftkings
Projection updated: 43 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -180
0.5 +145
0.5 -190
0.5 +140
0.5 -175
0.5 +126
0.5 +150
0.5 -195

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 52.8% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Heat have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year in regard to threes. The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Davion Mitchell stands to get a boost in production for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Rebounds
J. Jaquez u4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 2.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 -154 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -165
3.5 +125
4.5 +120
4.5 -154

In comparison to last year's 28.3 rate, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s playing time has been reduced this year to 21.4 minutes per game. The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Points Scored
D. White u20.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u20.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
20.5 -125
20.5 -110
19.5 -118
19.5 -113
19.5 -133
19.5 -103
19.5 -115
19.5 -115
19.5 -118
19.5 -108

The Boston Celtics have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team. The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Heat). Derrick White will likely suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Points Scored
S. Hauser o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 -137
8.5 +100
8.5 -135
8.5 +105
8.5 -120
8.5 -108

Sam Hauser has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup. The rate of 3-pointers made against Andrew Wiggins has been remarkably high (53.1%) when he is at home and matched up against fellow starting SFs this year (100th percentile). The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 90.9% mark, Sam Hauser's free-throw performance has risen this season to 100.0%.

BOS vs MIA Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

66% picking Boston

66%
34%

Total Picks BOS 365, MIA 188

Spread
BOS
MIA
Total

64% picking Boston vs Miami to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksBOS 249, MIA 141

Total
Over
Under

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User Picks

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