Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Los Angeles @ Denver picks

Ball Arena

LAL vs DEN Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
A. Reaves u26.5 Points Scored
Projection 22.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u26.5 -125 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
25.5 -110
25.5 -120
26.5 -106
26.5 -125
25.5 -118
25.5 -118
25.5 -120
25.5 -110
25.5 -115
25.5 -111

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Austin Reaves will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production for all stats.

Points Scored
J. Vanderbilt o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -130 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 +100
8.5 -132
7.5 -130
7.5 +102

Jarred Vanderbilt has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Total Assists
R. Westbrook o4.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +114 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -105
4.5 -125
4.5 +100
4.5 -135
4.5 +102
4.5 -136
4.5 +108
4.5 -147
4.5 +100
4.5 -130
4.5 +114
4.5 -146

Russell Westbrook has averaged a whopping 6.0 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.3 assists per game last year. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
G. Vincent u10.5 Points Scored
Projection 9 (Under)
Best Odds
u10.5 -114 fanduel
Projection updated: 43 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -114
10.5 -114

The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Points Scored
S. Milton o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 +100 betmgm
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 +100
9.5 -130
9.5 -120
9.5 -114
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
9.5 -106
9.5 -120

Shake Milton has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the season. Shake Milton has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.9% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Total Rebounds
R. Westbrook o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +120 fanduel
Projection updated: 43 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -105
4.5 -130
4.5 -108
4.5 -122
4.5 +120
4.5 -167
4.5 -140
4.5 +110
4.5 +120
4.5 -154

Russell Westbrook has posted 2.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's posted overall this season. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
R. Westbrook o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -106 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -125
11.5 -105
11.5 -115
11.5 -115
11.5 -106
11.5 -128
11.5 -110
11.5 -120
11.5 -106
11.5 -120

Russell Westbrook has sunk 55.2% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 8.4% more than he's made overall this year with the home court advantage. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. Russell Westbrook has attempted 2.9 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Total Assists
J. Vanderbilt o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +100 bet365
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +100
1.5 -130

Jarred Vanderbilt has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Points Scored
L. Dončić u32.5 Points Scored
Projection 29.5 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -125 draftkings
Projection updated: 43 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
32.5 +100
32.5 -135
32.5 -109
32.5 -125
32.5 -105
32.5 -125
31.5 -110
31.5 -120

In comparison to last year's 32.7 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have diminished this year to 26.9. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
J. Vanderbilt o6.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 7.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -113 fanduel
Projection updated: 42 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -118
6.5 -113
6.5 -118
6.5 -118
6.5 -113
6.5 -113

Jarred Vanderbilt has posted a whopping 1.8 offensive rebounds per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.4 offensive rebounds per game last season.

LAL vs DEN Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

65% picking L.A. Lakers vs Denver to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksLAL 248, DEN 136

Total
Over
Under

LAL vs DEN Top User Picks

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