Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Los Angeles @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-125

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Austin Reaves will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production for all stats.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Austin Reaves will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production for all stats.

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Vanderbilt
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jarred Vanderbilt has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Jarred Vanderbilt

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Jarred Vanderbilt has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

G. Vincent
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Shake Milton Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

S. Milton
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Shake Milton has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the season. Shake Milton has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.9% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Shake Milton

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Shake Milton has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the season. Shake Milton has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.9% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-106

Russell Westbrook has sunk 55.2% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 8.4% more than he's made overall this year with the home court advantage. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. Russell Westbrook has attempted 2.9 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Russell Westbrook has sunk 55.2% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 8.4% more than he's made overall this year with the home court advantage. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. Russell Westbrook has attempted 2.9 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. Dončić
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 32.7 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have diminished this year to 26.9. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Dončić

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.5
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.5

In comparison to last year's 32.7 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have diminished this year to 26.9. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Dalton Knecht Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Knecht
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-105

Dalton Knecht has successfully made 54.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Dalton Knecht has successfully made 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Dalton Knecht has been on the court for 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Dalton Knecht

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Dalton Knecht has successfully made 54.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Dalton Knecht has successfully made 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Dalton Knecht has been on the court for 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Alex Len Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Len
center C • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Alex Len has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 33.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Alex Len has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The clash with Nikola Jokic ranks in the 96th percentile with opposing starting Cs converting a whopping 47.3% of their 3-point attempts this year when they are on the away squad. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Alex Len

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Alex Len has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 33.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Alex Len has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The clash with Nikola Jokic ranks in the 96th percentile with opposing starting Cs converting a whopping 47.3% of their 3-point attempts this year when they are on the away squad. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 23.2 free throws per game places 4th-best in the league this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jamal Murray has successfully made 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year playing at home. Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.4 minutes per game at home this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has made 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are the visiting team (4th-most in the league).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Jamal Murray has successfully made 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year playing at home. Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.4 minutes per game at home this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has made 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are the visiting team (4th-most in the league).

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 100th percentile, averaging an enormous 29.0 points per game this year. Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.0 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production across the board.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 100th percentile, averaging an enormous 29.0 points per game this year. Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.0 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production across the board.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has converted 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has made 53.9% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted from three overall this season. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). Aaron Gordon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Aaron Gordon has converted 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has made 53.9% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted from three overall this season. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). Aaron Gordon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-113

The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Michael Porter

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Christian Braun has converted 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. In comparison to last year's 65.3% mark, Christian Braun's foul-shot effectiveness has jumped this year to 81.4%. Christian Braun ought to see a rise in efficiency for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Christian Braun has converted 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on their home court rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games. In comparison to last year's 65.3% mark, Christian Braun's foul-shot effectiveness has jumped this year to 81.4%. Christian Braun ought to see a rise in efficiency for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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