Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Phoenix 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46

Sacramento @ Phoenix props

PHX Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Zach LaVine has put up a whopping 23.7 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 19.5 points per game last season. Zach LaVine has successfully made an impressive 41.9% of his three-point attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 32.3 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Zach LaVine has put up a whopping 23.7 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 19.5 points per game last season. Zach LaVine has successfully made an impressive 41.9% of his three-point attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 32.3 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Phoenix

N. Richards
center C • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Nick Richards has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The 4th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Suns. The Suns will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Nick Richards

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Nick Richards has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The 4th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Suns. The Suns will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Keegan Murray has played 34.5 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Keegan Murray has played 34.5 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Ryan Dunn Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. Dunn
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Ryan Dunn has successfully made 55.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Ryan Dunn has converted 46.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 15.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year at home. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.3). The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

Ryan Dunn

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Ryan Dunn has successfully made 55.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Ryan Dunn has converted 46.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 15.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year at home. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.3). The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has successfully made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from three overall this year when playing at home. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Royce O'Neale has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's made in all games this year while on his home court. Royce O'Neale will likely see a spike in production in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Royce O'Neale has successfully made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from three overall this year when playing at home. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Royce O'Neale has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's made in all games this year while on his home court. Royce O'Neale will likely see a spike in production in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk registers in the 89th percentile for shots, compiling 14.8 per game this year. Malik Monk has played 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have posted 29.2 points per game (most in the league) against the Suns, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Suns, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk registers in the 89th percentile for shots, compiling 14.8 per game this year. Malik Monk has played 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have posted 29.2 points per game (most in the league) against the Suns, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Suns, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Jonas Valančiūnas Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. Valančiūnas
center C • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 11.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 23.9% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on the road. Jonas Valanciunas has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's played in all games this year. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Mason Plumlee has been remarkably high (12.0 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Jonas Valančiūnas

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 11.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 23.9% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on the road. Jonas Valanciunas has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's played in all games this year. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Mason Plumlee has been remarkably high (12.0 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-104

Domantas Sabonis has converted 60.3% of his field goals on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 44.2% of his treys when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Mason Plumlee has been remarkably high (12.0 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Domantas Sabonis has converted 60.3% of his field goals on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 44.2% of his treys when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Mason Plumlee has been remarkably high (12.0 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Under
-106

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Suns may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA). DeMar DeRozan ought to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Suns may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA). DeMar DeRozan ought to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Over
-122

Among all players in the league, Devin Booker comes in at the 97th percentile, posting a monstrous 24.8 points per game playing at home this year. Out of all players in the league, Devin Booker comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 37.5 minutes per game this year. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Booker ranks in the 98th percentile for foul shots sunk while at home, compiling an enormous 5.8 per game this year. Devin Booker will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production for all stats.

Devin Booker

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

Among all players in the league, Devin Booker comes in at the 97th percentile, posting a monstrous 24.8 points per game playing at home this year. Out of all players in the league, Devin Booker comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 37.5 minutes per game this year. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Booker ranks in the 98th percentile for foul shots sunk while at home, compiling an enormous 5.8 per game this year. Devin Booker will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production for all stats.

Bol Bol Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Bol
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Bol Bol has averaged 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (12th percentile). The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Bol Bol has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.8% more than he's made overall this year. Bol Bol will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Bol Bol

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Bol Bol has averaged 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (12th percentile). The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Bol Bol has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.8% more than he's made overall this year. Bol Bol will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-118

Bradley Beal has made 6.1 baskets per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Bradley Beal has averaged 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a good matchup for offensive output. Bradley Beal has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Bradley Beal has made 6.1 baskets per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Bradley Beal has averaged 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a good matchup for offensive output. Bradley Beal has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 99th percentile, tallying a massive 26.8 points per game this year. Kevin Durant has sunk 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 37.2 minutes per game this year. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (6th-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 99th percentile, tallying a massive 26.8 points per game this year. Kevin Durant has sunk 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 37.2 minutes per game this year. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (6th-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Mason Plumlee Points Scored Props • Phoenix

M. Plumlee
center C • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Mason Plumlee has successfully made 79.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 17.6% more than he's made in all games this season. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The number of points compiled against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (15.3 per game) when he is on the road and defending opposing starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). Mason Plumlee has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a good one for getting to the foul line; when Sabonis is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.7 foul shots per game (90th percentile).

Mason Plumlee

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Mason Plumlee has successfully made 79.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 17.6% more than he's made in all games this season. The Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The number of points compiled against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (15.3 per game) when he is on the road and defending opposing starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). Mason Plumlee has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a good one for getting to the foul line; when Sabonis is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.7 foul shots per game (90th percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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