LIVE 00:05 4th Apr 15
MEM 116 6.5 o225.5
GS 119 -6.5 u225.5
Final Apr 15
ATL 95 6.0 o220.5
ORL 120 -6.0 u220.5
Indiana 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34

Indiana @ Milwaukee props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
small forward SF • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Aaron Nesmith has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's played over the course of the season. Aaron Nesmith has accumulated just 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.5 fouls per game last year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8).

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Aaron Nesmith has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's played over the course of the season. Aaron Nesmith has accumulated just 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.5 fouls per game last year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8).

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
small forward SF • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

Bennedict Mathurin has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (81st percentile). The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Bennedict Mathurin has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (81st percentile). The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Pacers have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Bucks. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Pacers have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Bucks. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Damian Lillard has posted 25.2 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile. Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard lands in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 9.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 36.2 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Damian Lillard has posted 25.2 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile. Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard lands in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 9.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 36.2 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 28.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.2 shots made from the field per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a good matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court, which should increase possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 28.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.2 shots made from the field per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a good matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court, which should increase possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.5 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Pascal Siakam will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.5 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Pascal Siakam will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez measures in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez measures in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Taurean Prince has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied overall this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 19.0 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Pacers, creating a positive matchup for offensive output. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Taurean Prince has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Taurean Prince has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied overall this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 19.0 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Pacers, creating a positive matchup for offensive output. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Tyrese Haliburton has converted 7.8 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Tyrese Haliburton has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from three overall this year. Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7).

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Tyrese Haliburton has converted 7.8 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Tyrese Haliburton has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from three overall this year. Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7).

Kevin Porter Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Porter
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Porter

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.9 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Pacers have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Bucks. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.8
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.8

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.9 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Bucks's superb 121.6 points per game while at home ranks 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Pacers have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Bucks. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Myles Turner has sunk 2.0 shots from downtown per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.6 3-pointers per game (90th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Myles Turner

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Myles Turner has sunk 2.0 shots from downtown per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.6 3-pointers per game (90th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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