Chicago @ Houston picks
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CHI vs HOU Picks
NBA PicksCoby White has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (75th percentile). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 24.8% on three-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, marking this as a hard matchup. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Chicago Bulls. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Coby White will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production across the board.
Zach Collins has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Chicago Bulls. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Zach Collins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all stat categories.
Zach Collins has made 59.0% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 12.6% higher than he's made in all games this year away from his home court. Zach Collins has averaged 27.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 12.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. In terms of scoring, the Chicago Bulls's terrific 117.7 points per game while on the road rates 5th-most in the NBA this year. The Bulls have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA on the road this year. Zach Collins has sunk 95.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from his home court.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet slots into the 92nd percentile for 3-point attempts playing at home, registering 7.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Bulls have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost plays for the Rockets. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Fred VanVleet has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Kevin Huerter has attempted 12.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Kevin Huerter has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Kevin Huerter has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. In terms of scoring, the Chicago Bulls's terrific 117.7 points per game while on the road rates 5th-most in the NBA this year. The Bulls have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA on the road this year.
CHI vs HOU Consensus Picks
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67% picking Houston
Total Picks CHI 177, HOU 364
60% picking Chicago vs Houston to go Over
Total PicksCHI 214, HOU 140