Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34

Miami @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 61.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's made in all games this season. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 15.8 points per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 21.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while on the road.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 61.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's made in all games this season. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 15.8 points per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 21.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while on the road.

Scotty Pippen Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Pippen
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Scotty Pippen Jr. has made 47.9% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Scotty Pippen Jr. has played 27.9 minutes per game over the last 11 games when playing at home, 7.4 more than he's played in all games this season at home. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Scotty Pippen Jr. has made 94.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 24.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Scotty Pippen

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Scotty Pippen Jr. has made 47.9% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Scotty Pippen Jr. has played 27.9 minutes per game over the last 11 games when playing at home, 7.4 more than he's played in all games this season at home. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Scotty Pippen Jr. has made 94.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 24.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Under
-113

The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Ja Morant

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Duncan Robinson has registered 14.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 higher than he's registered overall this year. Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from three overall this year. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Duncan Robinson has registered 14.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 higher than he's registered overall this year. Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from three overall this year. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).

Jaren Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson
center C • Memphis
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-125

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Jaren Jackson

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-127

Zach Edey has converted 60.0% of his field goals when playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Zach Edey has converted 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 64.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a favorable one for three-point shots; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 42.6% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Zach Edey

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Zach Edey has converted 60.0% of his field goals when playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Zach Edey has converted 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 64.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a favorable one for three-point shots; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 42.6% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-104

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Andrew Wiggins figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Andrew Wiggins figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-113

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.5 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.7 minutes per game this year. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have compiled 22.8 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, creating a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.5 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.7 minutes per game this year. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have compiled 22.8 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, creating a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat.

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard has made 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Luke Kennard has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (19th percentile). The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Luke Kennard

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Luke Kennard has made 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Luke Kennard has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (19th percentile). The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-105

Desmond Bane has successfully made just 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.3 rate last season. Desmond Bane has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Desmond Bane has successfully made just 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.3 rate last season. Desmond Bane has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-130

Bam Adebayo has made 8.9 baskets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's converted overall this season on the road. Bam Adebayo has converted 46.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 11.5% more than he's made from three overall this season away from his home court. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Bam Adebayo has made 8.9 baskets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's converted overall this season on the road. Bam Adebayo has converted 46.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 11.5% more than he's made from three overall this season away from his home court. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat.

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-118

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Wells ranks in the 75th percentile for three-point shots scored when playing at home, tallying 1.8 per game this year. The matchup against Miami is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has successfully made 95.8% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 7.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Wells ranks in the 75th percentile for three-point shots scored when playing at home, tallying 1.8 per game this year. The matchup against Miami is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has successfully made 95.8% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 7.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has made 4.5 buckets per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home. Kel'el Ware has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 8.8 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup against Zach Edey is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.2 treys per game (77th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Kel'el Ware has made 4.5 buckets per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home. Kel'el Ware has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 8.8 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup against Zach Edey is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.2 treys per game (77th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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