MIA 1.0 o219.5
CHI -1.0 u219.5
DAL 4.5 o214.0
SAC -4.5 u214.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Denver @ Golden State picks

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DEN vs GS Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
N. Jokić u29.5 Points Scored
Projection 26.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u29.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 30 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
29.5 -120
29.5 -110
29.5 -114
29.5 -120
29.5 -120
29.5 -110
28.5 -115
28.5 -111

Nikola Jokic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The clash with Quinten Post ranks in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs hitting only 0.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year. The matchup against Quinten Post is a tough one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game (24th percentile). Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

Points Scored
P. Watson u11.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u11.5 -130 draftkings
Projection updated: 29 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -128
10.5 -106
11.5 +100
11.5 -130
10.5 -125
10.5 -106

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. Peyton Watson ought to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Points Scored
J. Kuminga u16.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 30 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
16.5 -115
16.5 -115
15.5 -120
15.5 -114
14.5 -125
14.5 -105
15.5 -110
15.5 -120

The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. Compared to last year's 73.0% rate, Jonathan Kuminga's free-throw ability has diminished this year to 58.6%.

Points Scored
M. Moody o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -132 fanduel
Projection updated: 30 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -115
12.5 -115
12.5 -110
12.5 -121
12.5 +100
12.5 -137
12.5 -110
12.5 -120
11.5 -132
11.5 +100

Moses Moody has successfully made 59.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.4% more than he's made from three overall this year at home. Moses Moody has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's played overall this season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has sunk 92.9% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Points Scored
M. Porter o19.5 Points Scored
Projection 21.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 30 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
20.5 -105
20.5 -125
19.5 -113
19.5 -118
19.5 -125
19.5 -109
19.5 -105
19.5 -125
19.5 -113
19.5 -113

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 6.9 field goals per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the league this year (47.0%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Points Scored
Z. Nnaji o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -130 draftkings
Projection updated: 29 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 +100
8.5 -135
8.5 +100
8.5 -137
7.5 -130
7.5 +100
8.5 -104
8.5 -128

Zeke Nnaji has sunk 76.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 50.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Points Scored
A. Gordon o15.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -118 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 30 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
17.5 -105
17.5 -130
15.5 -118
15.5 -113
16.5 -106
16.5 -128
16.5 -105
16.5 -125
16.5 -108
16.5 -122

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 81st percentile for scoring efficiency away from home with a stellar 51.7% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 59.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.6% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Warriors, making this a good matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Total Assists
R. Westbrook o6.5 Total Assists
Projection 8.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -132 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 29 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -145
6.5 +115
6.5 -150
6.5 +110
6.5 -132
6.5 +100
7.5 -118
7.5 -118
7.5 -125
7.5 -105
7.5 -113
7.5 -113

Russell Westbrook has tallied a terrific 6.1 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.3 assists per game last season. Russell Westbrook has tallied 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Points Scored
Q. Post o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -130 fanduel
Projection updated: 29 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
9.5 -120
9.5 -110
8.5 -130
8.5 +102

Quinten Post has successfully made 38.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Quinten Post stands to get a boost in output in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

DEN vs GS Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

62% picking Denver vs Golden State to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksDEN 265, GS 165

Total
Over
Under

DEN vs GS Top User Picks

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User Picks

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